Axis Bank
Axis Bank
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Key Insights
Strengths
2- Company has delivered good profit growth of 29.6% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 49.4 days to 24.6 days
Weaknesses
5- Company has low interest coverage ratio.
- Promoter holding is low: 7.87%
- Contingent liabilities of Rs.31,22,124 Cr.
- Company might be capitalizing the interest cost
- Earnings include an other income of Rs.29,292 Cr.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Axis Bank Ltd trades at a market cap of ~Rs.3,85,005 Cr with a PE of 14x and PB of 1.77x. The bank has delivered strong 29.6% profit CAGR over five years, though TTM profit growth has flattened to 0% and ROE has moderated from a 3-year average of 16% to 13% in the last year.
- Strong 5-year compounded profit growth of 30% CAGR indicates a sustained earnings recovery cycle from earlier asset quality challenges
- PE of 14x is reasonable for a large private bank with Rs.3,85,005 Cr market cap, suggesting the stock is not priced for perfection
- 3-year ROE of 16% demonstrates the bank's ability to generate healthy returns on equity over a medium-term horizon
- Working capital days reduced sharply from 49.4 days to 24.6 days, reflecting improved operational efficiency and better fund deployment
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 16% shows consistent top-line expansion across interest and non-interest income streams
- PB ratio of 1.77x is moderate for a large-cap private sector bank, implying the market is not assigning an excessive premium to book value
- 10-year compounded sales growth of 12% and profit growth of 12% demonstrate long-term scalability of the franchise
- Stock CAGR of 15% over 1 year has outperformed the longer-term 10-year CAGR of 8%, suggesting recent re-rating momentum
- TTM profit growth has stagnated at 0%, a sharp deceleration from the 3-year CAGR of 35%, raising questions about near-term earnings trajectory
- Contingent liabilities of Rs.31,22,124 Cr are extremely large relative to the Rs.3,85,005 Cr market cap, posing a tail risk if even a fraction crystallizes
- Promoter holding is low at just 7.87%, which limits promoter alignment with minority shareholders and could raise governance concerns
- Low interest coverage ratio suggests the bank's earnings may be under pressure relative to its debt servicing obligations
- ROE declined from the 3-year average of 16% to 13% in the last year, indicating possible margin compression or rising credit costs
- Other income of Rs.29,292 Cr forms a significant component of earnings, and if this includes one-off or non-recurring items, core operating profitability may be overstated
- TTM sales growth of only 6% versus the 5-year CAGR of 16% signals a meaningful slowdown in revenue momentum
- Potential capitalization of interest cost could be inflating reported profits, masking the true cost structure of the bank
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- NIM pressure from FCNR(B) deployment Sep 07
CEO Chaudhry warned FCNR(B) inflows may cause NIMs to wobble over next 1-2 quarters due to short-term dilution, though medium-term accretion is expected as low-cost liquidity replaces expensive deposits.
- 18% ROE remains aspirational Sep 04
Despite achieving 18% ROE for nearly seven quarters, CEO Chaudhry acknowledges it remains an aspirational target as retail cycle pressures, higher credit costs, and rate cuts weigh on NIMs.
- Record liquidity surplus challenges Sep 05
Banking sector faces record surplus liquidity of ₹10.3 lakh crore as of September 3, forcing RBI to step up absorption operations and creating margin management challenges for deposit-heavy strategies.
- Mid-corporate book targeting ₹1L crore Aug 25
Axis Bank aims to grow mid-corporate funded book from ₹80,000 crore to ₹1 lakh crore in 3-4 quarters, targeting 25-30% annual growth with ~2% ROA and negligible credit costs.
- Credit growth 300bps above industry Aug 25
Bank expects credit growth to expand 300bps faster than industry average in FY27, with Q1 net profit of ₹7,114 crore vs ₹5,806 crore YoY and 19% domestic loan growth.
- SEBI drops Max Life probe Aug 25
SEBI disposed of proceedings against Axis Bank and subsidiaries regarding Max Life share transactions spanning FY10-FY22, imposing no penalty or direction.
- Axis Max Life listing in 12-18 months Sep 07
Bank evaluating stake increase in Axis Max Life from 20% to 30% to facilitate listing, while Axis Finance with ₹50,000 crore+ assets is also being prepared for eventual listing.
- FCNR(B) deposits boost market share Sep 07
Axis Bank ranks among top raisers of FCNR(B) funds, pushing deposit market share well above its ~5% domestic share, with funds to be deployed for credit growth over the next couple of quarters.
- AI-driven cost efficiency gains Sep 10
Bank opened ~400 branches in FY26 while reducing net headcount by 3%, with cost-to-assets ratio improving 18bps. AI-led personalisation expected within four quarters.
- Citigroup NRI deposit partnership Aug 24
Citigroup partnered with Axis Bank to facilitate leveraged NRI investments in foreign-currency deposits via standby letters of credit, potentially multiplying dollar inflows into India's banking system.
- Multiple investor meets scheduled Sep 11
Axis Bank held or scheduled investor meetings on Sep 8, 9, 10 (UBS Summit), Sep 17-18, and Aug 26 with institutions including Morgan Stanley, T. Rowe Price, and Goldman Sachs.
- New CFO Rajeev Mantri from Sep 28 Aug 25
Board appointed 49-year-old Rajeev Mantri as CFO effective September 28, 2026, bringing nearly three decades of experience across Citibank, Standard Chartered, and Mashreq.
- Scapia co-branded travel credit card Sep 04
Launched lifetime-free Scapia Axis Bank Credit Card on Mastercard and RuPay networks offering up to 20% travel rewards, zero forex markup, and unlimited domestic lounge access.
- ESOP share allotments Sep 02
Bank allotted 1.62 lakh shares on Sep 1 and 1.77 lakh shares on Aug 25 under ESOP/RSU schemes, with paid-up capital rising to ₹6,226.49 crore.
- $600M AT1 notes redemption Aug 24
Axis Bank to fully redeem $600 million 4.10% AT1 notes on September 8, 2026, with RBI approval obtained in July. Capital position to remain above regulatory minimums.
- UPI limit and travel features launched Sep 01
Introduced industry-first UPI Limit Management allowing personalised transaction limits across P2P and merchant payments, plus digital International Travel Declaration for credit card users.
- $300M senior notes listed on IFSC Aug 22
Received final listing approval for $300 million senior notes at 5.179% coupon under its $5 billion Global Medium Term Note programme on IFSC exchanges.
- ARISE Homecoming talent programme Sep 07
Launched hiring initiative targeting ~12.54 lakh Indian students enrolled in overseas institutions, offering roles across business, technology, strategy, and wealth management functions.
TL;DR: Axis Bank is executing well on growth, targeting ₹1 lakh crore mid-corporate book with 25-30% annual growth, credit expansion 300bps above industry, and Q1 profit up 23% YoY to ₹7,114 crore. AI investments are driving operational efficiency with headcount down 3% despite 400 new branches. Key risks are near-term NIM pressure from FCNR(B) fund deployment and the acknowledgment that 18% ROE remains aspirational amid rate cuts. The trend is constructive with multiple catalysts ahead including potential Axis Max Life listing in 12-18 months and AI-led personalisation rollout within four quarters.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 26,246 | 27,418 | 28,865 | 30,231 | 31,159 | 31,601 | 32,162 | 32,452 | 32,348 | 32,310 | 33,709 | 34,171 | 35,542 |
| Expenses | 9,731 | 10,059 | 10,506 | 11,124 | 11,892 | 12,412 | 11,913 | 11,943 | 13,983 | 14,302 | 12,743 | 14,816 | 12,837 |
| Financing Profit | 2,543 | 2,609 | 2,416 | 2,379 | 2,006 | 1,575 | 2,210 | 2,389 | 127 | 36 | 2,181 | 275 | 2,490 |
| Fin. Margin % | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 7% |
| Other Income | 5,648 | 5,705 | 6,272 | 7,606 | 6,637 | 7,603 | 6,797 | 7,506 | 8,053 | 7,460 | 7,189 | 6,972 | 7,671 |
| Interest | 13,972 | 14,749 | 15,943 | 16,727 | 17,261 | 17,615 | 18,040 | 18,121 | 18,239 | 17,971 | 18,785 | 19,080 | 20,215 |
| Depreciation | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PBT | 8,192 | 8,314 | 8,688 | 9,985 | 8,643 | 9,177 | 9,007 | 9,895 | 8,180 | 7,496 | 9,371 | 7,247 | 10,161 |
| Tax % | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | 19% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -5% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 6,113 | 6,230 | 6,520 | 7,630 | 6,467 | 7,436 | 6,779 | 7,509 | 6,279 | 5,567 | 7,060 | 7,642 | 7,670 |
| EPS in Rs | 19.78 | 20.13 | 21.05 | 24.62 | 20.83 | 23.93 | 21.78 | 24.13 | 20.13 | 17.82 | 22.58 | 24.46 | 24.54 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 35,727 | 41,409 | 45,175 | 46,614 | 56,044 | 63,716 | 64,397 | 68,846 | 87,448 | 1,12,759 | 1,27,374 | 1,32,538 | 1,35,732 |
| Expenses | 11,521 | 13,869 | 24,327 | 29,717 | 28,020 | 35,976 | 32,621 | 31,216 | 30,644 | 40,036 | 46,395 | 53,954 | 54,698 |
| Financing Profit | 2,865 | 3,196 | -5,941 | -10,706 | -5,860 | -10,256 | -2,851 | 2,707 | 13,416 | 11,333 | 9,943 | 4,509 | 4,983 |
| Fin. Margin % | 8% | 8% | -13% | -23% | -10% | -16% | -4% | 4% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 4% |
| Other Income | 8,838 | 9,955 | 12,422 | 11,863 | 14,189 | 16,342 | 13,577 | 17,268 | 18,349 | 25,230 | 28,543 | 29,674 | 29,292 |
| Interest | 21,341 | 24,344 | 26,789 | 27,604 | 33,883 | 37,996 | 34,627 | 34,923 | 43,389 | 61,391 | 71,036 | 74,075 | 76,051 |
| Depreciation | 420 | 461 | 527 | 591 | 737 | 806 | 976 | 1,046 | 13,143 | 1,385 | 1,763 | 1,889 | 0 |
| PBT | 11,283 | 12,690 | 5,954 | 566 | 7,592 | 5,280 | 9,750 | 18,929 | 18,621 | 35,178 | 36,722 | 32,293 | 34,275 |
| Tax % | 34% | 34% | 33% | 18% | 34% | 64% | 26% | 25% | 42% | 25% | 23% | 18% | — |
| Net Profit | 7,450 | 8,358 | 3,967 | 464 | 5,047 | 1,879 | 7,252 | 14,207 | 10,919 | 26,492 | 28,191 | 26,548 | 27,939 |
| EPS in Rs | 31.42 | 35.04 | 16.51 | 1.78 | 19.59 | 6.57 | 23.49 | 45.99 | 35.16 | 85.49 | 90.58 | 84.89 | 89.4 |
| Div. Payout % | 15% | 14% | 30% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 474 | 477 | 479 | 513 | 514 | 564 | 613 | 614 | 615 | 617 | 619 | 622 |
| Reserves | 44,475 | 53,082 | 55,901 | 63,694 | 67,288 | 85,776 | 1,02,981 | 1,17,647 | 1,29,166 | 1,56,406 | 1,86,616 | 2,14,414 |
| Borrowing | 84,394 | 1,13,848 | 1,12,455 | 1,55,767 | 1,61,250 | 1,55,180 | 1,52,249 | 1,99,778 | 2,06,214 | 2,28,200 | 2,20,687 | 2,80,511 |
| Deposits | 3,22,244 | 3,58,302 | 4,14,983 | 4,55,658 | 5,50,746 | 6,42,157 | 6,98,303 | 8,20,914 | 9,45,825 | 10,67,102 | 11,70,921 | 13,33,791 |
| Other Liabilities | 15,656 | 20,678 | 27,644 | 28,071 | 34,248 | 44,194 | 46,859 | 56,576 | 62,598 | 65,913 | 78,119 | 1,16,713 |
| Total Liabilities | 4,67,243 | 5,46,387 | 6,11,462 | 7,03,703 | 8,14,046 | 9,27,872 | 10,01,005 | 11,95,529 | 13,44,418 | 15,18,239 | 16,56,963 | 19,46,050 |
| Fixed Assets | 2,447 | 3,358 | 3,518 | 3,697 | 3,842 | 3,912 | 4,501 | 4,753 | 5,000 | 5,860 | 6,661 | 6,776 |
| CWIP | 105 | 216 | 292 | 352 | 288 | 483 | 118 | 215 | 142 | 267 | 121 | 269 |
| Investments | 1,18,527 | 1,31,399 | 1,29,018 | 1,53,037 | 1,74,056 | 1,55,282 | 2,25,336 | 2,74,608 | 2,88,095 | 3,32,354 | 3,96,685 | 4,46,422 |
| Other Assets | 3,46,164 | 4,11,414 | 4,78,633 | 5,46,618 | 6,35,860 | 7,68,196 | 7,71,050 | 9,15,952 | 10,51,181 | 11,79,758 | 12,53,496 | 14,92,583 |
| Total Assets | 4,67,243 | 5,46,387 | 6,11,462 | 7,03,703 | 8,14,046 | 9,27,872 | 10,01,005 | 11,95,529 | 13,44,418 | 15,18,239 | 16,56,963 | 19,46,050 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | -15,162 | -34,495 | 32,209 | -38,390 | 37,125 | 30,416 | 12,633 | 28,137 | 22,075 | -5,555 | 44,384 | -8,637 |
| Investing | -7,972 | 9,211 | -12,458 | -10,007 | -18,674 | -9,485 | -54,288 | -27,112 | -32,351 | -9,001 | -51,178 | -45,068 |
| Financing | 31,045 | 22,495 | -2,487 | 41,342 | 5,643 | 8,865 | 7,279 | 47,894 | 6,641 | 22,341 | -7,000 | 60,358 |
| Net Cash Flow | 7,910 | -2,789 | 17,263 | -7,055 | 24,094 | 29,795 | -34,375 | 48,919 | -3,636 | 7,785 | -13,794 | 6,653 |
| Free Cash Flow | -15,691 | -35,970 | 31,441 | -39,233 | 36,300 | 29,339 | 11,708 | 26,736 | 20,697 | -7,931 | 41,951 | -10,797 |
| CFO/OP | -63 | -109 | 180 | -208 | 144 | 121 | 46 | 87 | 51 | 2 | 65 | -2 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE % | 18% | 17% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 18% | 16% | 13% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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75 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY09–FY27.
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Company Information
Incorporated in December 1993, Axis Bank Limited is a private sector bank.It has the third-largest network of branches among private sector banks and an international presence through branches in DIFC (Dubai) and Singapore along with representative offices in Abu Dhabi, Sharjah, Dhaka and Dubai and an offshore banking unit in GIFT City.[1]
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