ICICI Bank
ICICI Bank
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Key Insights
Weaknesses
5- Stock is trading at 2.62 times its book value
- Company has low interest coverage ratio.
- Contingent liabilities of Rs.65,46,110 Cr.
- Earnings include an other income of Rs.1,18,852 Cr.
- Working capital days have increased from 55.4 days to 108 days
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
ICICI Bank Ltd commands a market cap of ~Rs.9,85,640 Cr with a P/E of 16.6x and P/B of 2.66x. Compounded profit growth stands at 17% over 3 years and 24% over 5 years, though TTM profit growth has decelerated to 6% and TTM sales growth has slowed to 4%. The bank carries contingent liabilities of Rs.65,46,110 Cr and working capital days have nearly doubled from 55.4 to 108 days.
- Strong 5-year compounded profit CAGR of 24%, indicating sustained earnings momentum over a longer horizon
- Consistent ROE of 16-17% over the last 1-3-5 year periods, well above the cost of equity for most Indian banks
- 10-year stock CAGR of 19%, reflecting long-term value creation for shareholders
- 3-year and 5-year compounded sales growth of 17% each, showing the bank has scaled revenues consistently
- P/E of 16.6x is reasonable relative to the bank's 17% profit CAGR over 3 years, implying a PEG ratio close to 1x
- 10-year compounded profit growth of 18% demonstrates the bank's ability to compound earnings across credit cycles
- Dividend yield of 0.87% provides a modest income component alongside capital appreciation potential
- TTM sales growth has sharply decelerated to 4% from the 3-year CAGR of 17%, signaling a potential slowdown in topline momentum
- TTM profit growth has slowed to 6% compared to the 3-year CAGR of 17%, suggesting earnings growth compression
- Contingent liabilities of Rs.65,46,110 Cr represent a significant off-balance-sheet risk, roughly 6.6x the current market cap
- Stock trades at 2.66x book value, which leaves limited margin of safety if asset quality deteriorates
- Working capital days have nearly doubled from 55.4 days to 108 days, indicating deterioration in operational efficiency or asset-liability dynamics
- Other income of Rs.1,18,852 Cr forms a significant part of total earnings, raising questions about core operating income sustainability
- Low interest coverage ratio suggests vulnerability to margin pressure in a changing rate environment
- 1-year stock CAGR of -1% shows the market has not rewarded the stock recently despite reported profit growth
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- NIM compression from FCNR(B) influx Sep 02
Citi estimates overseas NIMs will compress 50 bps (from 1% to 0.5%) and overall NIMs will dilute 10-20 bps over the next two quarters due to the $17.88 billion FCNR(B) deposit mobilisation.
- CEO seeks shorter reappointment term Sep 01
MD & CEO Sandeep Bakhshi sought a two-year reappointment instead of the usual three-year term, amid broader industry concerns about board-management divergence on strategy and succession planning at private banks.
- RBI approves LIC 9.99% stake Sep 05
RBI approved LIC to acquire up to 9.99% stake in ICICI Bank within one year from Sep 4, 2026. LIC currently holds 4.35%, and a full acquisition would take its holding to 14.34%.
- Q1FY27 PAT up 15.9% to ₹148B Aug 21
ICICI Bank reported Q1FY27 net profit of ₹14,804 crore, up 15.9% YoY, with advances growing 19.6% and net NPA ratio steady at 0.35%. A ₹12 dividend was declared for FY26.
- $17.88B FCNR(B) market leadership Sep 02
ICICI Bank mobilised $17.88 billion (₹1.70 lakh crore) under RBI's FCNR(B) swap facility, capturing ~27.3% of the $65.4 billion system-wide total. Citi projects 2.5-3% uplift in NII and PPOP by FY27.
- UBS top pick at ₹1,800 target Sep 01
UBS maintained Buy with ₹1,800 target, naming ICICI Bank its top pick among private banks. Neuberger Berman's Conrad Saldanha also called it a core portfolio holding.
- 2% ICICI Pru Life stake acquired Sep 02
ICICI Bank completed acquisition of an additional 2% stake in ICICI Prudential Life for ₹1,470 crore, raising its holding to ~52.8% and resolving long-term ownership overhang.
- $1.75B in USD bond issuances Aug 24
ICICI Bank priced $1 billion senior notes at 5.41% coupon (Aug 24) and $750 million at 5.417% (Aug 18), both 5-year tenures rated Baa3/BBB, as part of its diversified funding strategy.
- $500M note issuance completed Sep 03
ICICI Bank completed issuance of $500 million senior unsecured fixed rate notes through its IFSC Banking Unit, rated BBB by S&P and Baa3 by Moody's.
- Board approves $5B overseas borrowing Aug 21
ICICI Bank's board approved borrowings of up to $5 billion from overseas markets through bonds, notes, and offshore certificates of deposit.
- AGM approves all 18 resolutions Aug 21
Shareholders approved all 18 resolutions at the 32nd AGM, including MD & CEO Bakhshi's reappointment and material related-party transactions for FY28.
- Investor meets scheduled Sep 2-10 Sep 07
ICICI Bank scheduled investor interactions at Elara India Dialogue (Sep 2), Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs meets (late Aug), and UBS India Summit (Sep 10).
TL;DR: ICICI Bank is firing on multiple cylinders — strong Q1FY27 earnings (PAT +15.9%, advances +19.6%), dominant FCNR(B) mobilisation capturing 27% of system flows, and a potential large institutional buyer in LIC with RBI approval for up to 9.99% stake. The key near-term risk is NIM compression of 10-20 bps from the massive FCNR(B) influx, though brokerages expect this to be earnings accretive overall. With UBS and Citi maintaining Buy ratings (targets ₹1,770-1,800) and asset quality holding steady at 0.35% net NPA, the trend remains constructive heading into H2 FY27.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 37,106 | 38,938 | 40,865 | 42,607 | 44,582 | 46,326 | 47,037 | 48,387 | 49,080 | 48,181 | 48,364 | 49,594 | 52,241 |
| Expenses | 21,402 | 24,560 | 24,929 | 30,604 | 29,387 | 32,221 | 33,510 | 37,588 | 31,991 | 35,065 | 37,154 | 41,823 | 35,318 |
| Financing Profit | -663 | -3,530 | -3,473 | -8,421 | -5,927 | -8,120 | -9,106 | -12,248 | -6,002 | -8,901 | -10,664 | -14,276 | -6,141 |
| Fin. Margin % | -2% | -9% | -8% | -20% | -13% | -18% | -19% | -25% | -12% | -18% | -22% | -29% | -12% |
| Other Income | 15,229 | 18,690 | 18,615 | 24,575 | 22,688 | 26,617 | 27,589 | 31,361 | 25,496 | 27,966 | 28,418 | 35,020 | 27,448 |
| Interest | 16,368 | 17,908 | 19,409 | 20,424 | 21,122 | 22,225 | 22,633 | 23,047 | 23,090 | 22,017 | 21,874 | 22,047 | 23,064 |
| Depreciation | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PBT | 14,566 | 15,160 | 15,142 | 16,154 | 16,761 | 18,496 | 18,483 | 19,113 | 19,494 | 19,065 | 17,754 | 20,744 | 21,307 |
| Tax % | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | 24% |
| Net Profit | 11,014 | 11,351 | 11,515 | 12,200 | 12,463 | 13,906 | 13,847 | 14,354 | 14,456 | 14,318 | 13,481 | 15,681 | 16,276 |
| EPS in Rs | 15.2 | 15.56 | 15.76 | 16.62 | 16.62 | 18.38 | 18.25 | 18.96 | 19 | 18.7 | 17.53 | 20.61 | 21.52 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 54,964 | 59,294 | 60,940 | 62,162 | 71,982 | 84,836 | 89,163 | 95,407 | 1,21,067 | 1,59,516 | 1,86,331 | 1,95,218 | 1,98,379 |
| Expenses | 38,766 | 52,252 | 63,841 | 72,806 | 83,775 | 85,361 | 91,309 | 80,798 | 87,864 | 99,560 | 1,30,078 | 1,42,971 | 1,49,359 |
| Financing Profit | -16,120 | -26,955 | -37,737 | -44,906 | -50,971 | -45,190 | -44,805 | -26,558 | -17,341 | -14,152 | -32,775 | -36,782 | -39,982 |
| Fin. Margin % | -29% | -45% | -62% | -72% | -71% | -53% | -50% | -28% | -14% | -9% | -18% | -19% | -20% |
| Other Income | 35,252 | 42,102 | 52,458 | 56,807 | 59,325 | 64,950 | 72,174 | 62,129 | 65,112 | 76,522 | 1,08,255 | 1,16,900 | 1,18,852 |
| Interest | 32,318 | 33,996 | 34,836 | 34,262 | 39,178 | 44,666 | 42,659 | 41,167 | 50,543 | 74,108 | 89,028 | 89,029 | 89,002 |
| Depreciation | 798 | 843 | 912 | 922 | 946 | 1,171 | 1,340 | 1,330 | 1,515 | 1,935 | 2,627 | 3,061 | 0 |
| PBT | 18,334 | 14,304 | 13,809 | 10,978 | 7,408 | 18,589 | 26,028 | 34,241 | 46,256 | 60,434 | 72,854 | 77,057 | 78,870 |
| Tax % | 29% | 24% | 18% | 17% | 23% | 40% | 22% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 25% | — |
| Net Profit | 12,942 | 10,927 | 11,340 | 9,100 | 5,689 | 11,225 | 20,364 | 26,538 | 35,461 | 46,081 | 54,569 | 57,936 | 59,756 |
| EPS in Rs | 19.2 | 15.92 | 15.9 | 12 | 6.6 | 14.78 | 26.58 | 36.14 | 48.74 | 63.02 | 71.65 | 75.71 | 78.36 |
| Div. Payout % | 24% | 29% | 14% | 12% | 15% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 16% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 1,160 | 1,163 | 1,165 | 1,286 | 1,289 | 1,295 | 1,383 | 1,390 | 1,397 | 1,405 | 1,425 | 1,432 |
| Reserves | 83,545 | 92,948 | 1,03,467 | 1,09,344 | 1,12,964 | 1,21,665 | 1,56,204 | 1,80,663 | 2,13,101 | 2,54,739 | 3,12,481 | 3,61,628 |
| Borrowing | 1,19,165 | 1,89,054 | 1,70,670 | 2,29,402 | 2,10,324 | 2,13,852 | 1,43,900 | 1,61,603 | 1,89,062 | 2,07,428 | 2,18,883 | 2,20,264 |
| Deposits | 4,78,042 | 4,82,401 | 5,30,204 | 5,85,796 | 6,81,317 | 8,00,784 | 9,59,940 | 10,91,366 | 12,10,832 | 14,43,580 | 16,41,637 | 18,30,020 |
| Other Liabilities | 1,44,167 | 1,53,190 | 1,80,219 | 1,98,453 | 2,32,899 | 2,39,696 | 3,12,385 | 3,17,616 | 3,44,099 | 4,56,911 | 4,67,815 | 5,01,153 |
| Total Liabilities | 8,26,079 | 9,18,756 | 9,85,725 | 11,24,281 | 12,38,794 | 13,77,292 | 15,73,812 | 17,52,637 | 19,58,490 | 23,64,063 | 26,42,241 | 29,14,498 |
| Fixed Assets | 5,871 | 8,713 | 9,338 | 9,465 | 9,660 | 10,409 | 10,809 | 10,707 | 11,070 | 15,714 | 24,272 | 27,970 |
| CWIP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Investments | 2,74,311 | 2,86,044 | 3,04,373 | 3,72,208 | 3,98,201 | 4,43,473 | 5,36,579 | 5,67,098 | 6,39,552 | 8,27,163 | 8,86,377 | 8,70,720 |
| Other Assets | 5,45,897 | 6,23,999 | 6,72,013 | 7,42,608 | 8,30,933 | 9,23,411 | 10,26,424 | 11,74,833 | 13,07,868 | 15,21,186 | 17,31,593 | 20,15,808 |
| Total Assets | 8,26,079 | 9,18,756 | 9,85,725 | 11,24,281 | 12,38,794 | 13,77,292 | 15,73,812 | 17,52,637 | 19,58,490 | 23,64,063 | 26,42,241 | 29,14,498 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | -12,273 | 23,645 | 52,636 | 19,383 | 48,671 | 79,565 | 1,38,015 | 58,111 | -3,771 | 1,57,284 | 1,22,805 | 67,325 |
| Investing | -13,175 | -12,060 | -1,711 | -50,551 | -30,282 | -42,095 | -63,631 | -40,007 | -67,689 | -1,44,737 | -77,140 | -11,708 |
| Financing | 24,827 | 5,814 | -35,470 | 39,676 | -19,997 | 2,992 | -54,667 | 17,451 | 24,791 | 13,765 | 5,589 | -4,661 |
| Net Cash Flow | -621 | 17,399 | 15,455 | 8,508 | -1,608 | 40,462 | 19,718 | 35,555 | -46,669 | 26,312 | 51,255 | 50,957 |
| Free Cash Flow | -13,481 | 22,867 | 51,334 | 18,367 | 47,570 | 77,717 | 1,36,339 | 56,369 | -5,951 | 1,53,676 | 1,18,100 | 63,778 |
| CFO/OP | -43 | 428 | -2,018 | -224 | -484 | -15,611 | -6,609 | 432 | 21 | 285 | 251 | 161 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE % | 15% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 16% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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Company Information
ICICI Bank is the second-largest private sector bank in India offering a diversified portfolio of financial products and services to retail, SME and corporate customers. The Bank has an extensive network of branches, ATMs and other touch-points.The ICICI group has presence in businesses like life and general insurance, housing finance, primary dealership, etc, through its subsidiaries and associates.[1]
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