Tata Steel
Tata Steel
Commodities F&OKey Fundamentals
LargecapIron & SteelMetals & MiningTapetide Score
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Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 25.4%
Weaknesses
2- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.21% over past five years.
- Company has a low return on equity of 7.44% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Tata Steel Ltd, with a market cap of ₹2,27,774 Cr and a P/E of 20.6x, is navigating a cyclical recovery after a period of subdued sales growth. TTM profit growth of 147% signals a sharp earnings rebound, though the 3-year compounded sales CAGR of -2% and 3-year ROE of just 7% reflect the commodity cycle's volatility and structural margin pressures.
- TTM compounded profit growth of 147% indicates a strong cyclical earnings recovery from a low base, improving near-term profitability outlook
- 10-year compounded profit CAGR of 24% demonstrates the company's ability to generate substantial earnings over full commodity cycles
- Dividend yield of 2.14% with a healthy payout ratio of 25.4% provides income support uncommon among Indian steel peers
- TTM sales growth of 11% marks a meaningful reversal from the 3-year compounded sales CAGR of -2%, suggesting demand and pricing conditions are improving
- 10-year stock CAGR of 18% reflects long-term wealth creation despite significant commodity price volatility
- Last year ROE of 12% has recovered substantially from the 3-year average of 7%, indicating improving capital efficiency
- P/B ratio of 2.31x is reasonable for a large-cap steel producer with diversified global operations and significant asset base
- 10-year compounded sales CAGR of 9% reflects a steady long-term revenue base supported by capacity expansion across India and Europe
- 3-year compounded sales CAGR of -2% highlights a meaningful revenue contraction period, underscoring the cyclicality risk inherent in steel
- 3-year average ROE of just 7% is below the cost of equity for most investors, indicating poor capital returns over the recent cycle
- 5-year compounded sales growth of only 8% (flagged at 8.21%) is weak for a company of this scale and suggests limited organic volume growth
- P/E of 20.6x appears elevated for a cyclical commodity producer and may reflect peak or near-peak earnings, risking a P/E trap
- 5-year stock CAGR of only 5% significantly trails the broader Nifty returns over the same period, suggesting chronic underperformance
- 5-year ROE of 14% versus last year's 12% suggests the recent recovery has not yet surpassed mid-cycle profitability levels
- Steel remains a globally traded commodity subject to Chinese overcapacity, trade tariffs, and volatile raw material costs — factors outside the company's control
- European operations have historically weighed on consolidated margins and carry restructuring and decarbonisation cost risks that could pressure free cash flow
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Sell signal at ₹185-186 range Sep 08
Mirae Asset ShareKhan recommends selling Tata Steel at ₹185.70-185.60 with target ₹177, citing multiple rejections from 20-week and 40-week EMAs and head-and-shoulders breakdown.
- ESC spending cut 23% YoY Sep 11
Tata Steel spent ₹802.17 crore on environment, safety and compliance in FY26 versus ₹1,036.25 crore in FY25, a 23% reduction that could draw regulatory or ESG scrutiny.
- ₹1,755 Cr coal mining demand Aug 25
DMO Ramgarh issued ₹1,755.10 crore demand for alleged excess extraction of 1.62 crore MT from West Bokaro Colliery during FY2001-07. Interim relief granted but liability remains pending.
- Regulatory overhang over ₹19,000 Cr Aug 25
Tata Steel faces cumulative regulatory challenges exceeding ₹19,000 crore across jurisdictions including ₹4,313 crore Sukinda chromite dispute and a €1.4 billion Netherlands environmental lawsuit, applying a 13-15% valuation discount.
- Weak technicals and negative returns Aug 26
Stock trading below 20-day and 7-day EMAs at ₹184.94, with six-month returns at negative 14.25% and bearish momentum on weekly charts.
- Weak market sentiment drags stock Aug 18
GIFT Nifty flat at 24,297 with broad Asian weakness; Sensex fell 281 points and Nifty declined 78 points in the prior session, extending a five-session losing streak.
- SC quashes ₹1,781 Cr GST demand Aug 25
Supreme Court set aside ₹890.52 crore ITC demand plus equal penalty (total ~₹1,781 crore) for FY18-21, ruling tax authorities failed to establish foundational facts for fraud allegations under Section 74 CGST Act.
- Interim relief in ₹1,755 Cr case Aug 25
Ministry of Coal's Revisional Authority admitted Tata Steel's appeal and halted all coercive steps against the company during pendency, eliminating immediate liquidity pressure from the West Bokaro demand.
- Q1 FY27 profit up 19% YoY Sep 11
Consolidated net profit rose 19% YoY to ₹2,385.24 crore in Q1 FY27 with total income at ₹61,026.97 crore, driven by strong India operations delivering EBITDA of ₹19,162 per tonne.
- TMILL stake raised to 74% Aug 20
Tata Steel acquired 23% stake in TM International Logistics for ₹335 crore after CCI approval on Aug 18, making TMILL a subsidiary and strengthening supply chain control.
- ₹1,340 Cr invested in overseas arm Aug 27
Tata Steel invested ₹1,340 crore ($140M) in T Steel Holdings Pte. Ltd, part of a board-approved plan allowing up to $2 billion more in equity infusions for overseas operations.
- Buy signal near ₹184-188 support Aug 26
Times of India highlights multiple-bottom pattern in ₹180-185 zone with bullish RSI divergence near monthly Camarilla Pivot support; target ₹201 with stop-loss at ₹178.
- India's first COG injection launched Sep 10
Tata Steel commissioned India's first coke oven gas injection project at Meramandali, Odisha, using hydrogen-rich gas (55%+ H2 and methane) as partial fossil fuel substitute in blast furnace operations to lower CO2 intensity.
- AI-driven safety transformation Sep 11
Deploying 10,000+ CCTV cameras, AI surveillance, connected workforce platform and driver-fatigue monitoring across 8,000-10,000 daily trucks, achieving 38% LTIFR reduction over 15 years.
- New CIO appointed from Nov 2026 Aug 27
Manish Garg appointed Chief Information Officer effective November 1, 2026, succeeding Jayanta Banerjee, bringing 29 years of experience from Tata Consultancy Services.
- JFSPL football stake divested Aug 31
Tata Steel completed sale of 100% stake in Jamshedpur Football and Sporting Private Limited to Churchill Brothers, closing the transaction on August 31, 2026.
- Sukinda SC notice for Oct hearing Aug 26
Supreme Court issued notice to Tata Steel on Odisha's appeal regarding ₹4,313 crore Sukinda Chromite Block dispute, scheduling hearing for October 5, 2026.
TL;DR: Tata Steel's Q1 FY27 earnings are solid with 19% YoY profit growth and strong India EBITDA, while the Supreme Court's quashing of the ₹1,781 crore GST demand and interim relief on the ₹1,755 crore coal case remove near-term liquidity risks. However, cumulative regulatory exposure exceeding ₹19,000 crore across multiple jurisdictions and persistent technical weakness with the stock below key moving averages keep the valuation discount intact. The trend is cautiously stabilizing on fundamentals but remains constrained until major regulatory cases reach resolution, with the ₹180-185 zone acting as a critical support level.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 59,490 | 55,682 | 55,312 | 58,687 | 54,771 | 53,905 | 53,648 | 56,218 | 53,178 | 58,689 | 57,002 | 63,270 | 60,794 |
| Expenses | 54,587 | 51,414 | 49,048 | 52,087 | 48,077 | 47,789 | 47,745 | 49,659 | 45,751 | 49,793 | 48,803 | 53,441 | 51,530 |
| Operating Profit | 4,903 | 4,268 | 6,264 | 6,601 | 6,694 | 6,116 | 5,903 | 6,559 | 7,428 | 8,897 | 8,200 | 9,829 | 9,264 |
| OPM % | 8% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 16% | 15% |
| Other Income | 1,190 | -6,568 | -33 | -382 | -6 | 617 | 142 | 149 | 236 | -6 | 465 | 42 | -17 |
| Interest | 1,825 | 1,959 | 1,881 | 1,842 | 1,777 | 1,971 | 1,804 | 1,789 | 1,852 | 1,775 | 1,747 | 1,792 | 1,771 |
| Depreciation | 2,412 | 2,480 | 2,422 | 2,568 | 2,535 | 2,597 | 2,569 | 2,720 | 2,744 | 2,893 | 3,049 | 3,268 | 3,640 |
| PBT | 1,855 | -6,739 | 1,928 | 1,809 | 2,377 | 2,164 | 1,672 | 2,200 | 3,067 | 4,222 | 3,869 | 4,810 | 3,838 |
| Tax % | 72% | -3% | 73% | 69% | 61% | 65% | 82% | 45% | 35% | 25% | 29% | 38% | 38% |
| Net Profit | 525 | -6,511 | 522 | 555 | 919 | 759 | 295 | 1,201 | 2,007 | 3,183 | 2,730 | 2,965 | 2,385 |
| EPS in Rs | 0.52 | -5.07 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.77 | 0.67 | 0.26 | 1.04 | 1.66 | 2.48 | 2.15 | 2.34 | 1.86 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,39,504 | 1,01,965 | 1,12,299 | 1,23,249 | 1,57,669 | 1,39,817 | 1,56,477 | 2,43,959 | 2,43,353 | 2,29,171 | 2,18,543 | 2,32,140 | 2,39,756 |
| Expenses | 1,36,095 | 1,02,590 | 99,156 | 1,01,816 | 1,28,351 | 1,22,354 | 1,25,973 | 1,80,469 | 2,11,053 | 2,06,923 | 1,93,244 | 1,97,788 | 2,03,567 |
| Operating Profit | 3,409 | -625 | 13,144 | 21,433 | 29,318 | 17,463 | 30,504 | 63,490 | 32,300 | 22,248 | 25,298 | 34,352 | 36,189 |
| OPM % | 2.4% | -0.6% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 19% | 26% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 15% |
| Other Income | 5,994 | 10,346 | -3,789 | 10,898 | 1,524 | -2,884 | 180 | 1,300 | 1,569 | -6,005 | 877 | 738 | 485 |
| Interest | 4,848 | 4,221 | 5,072 | 5,455 | 7,660 | 7,533 | 7,607 | 5,462 | 6,299 | 7,508 | 7,341 | 7,167 | 7,085 |
| Depreciation | 5,944 | 5,306 | 5,673 | 5,742 | 7,342 | 8,441 | 9,234 | 9,101 | 9,335 | 9,882 | 10,421 | 11,955 | 12,850 |
| PBT | -1,388 | 193 | -1,391 | 21,135 | 15,841 | -1,395 | 13,844 | 50,227 | 18,235 | -1,147 | 8,413 | 15,969 | 16,739 |
| Tax % | 185% | 358% | 200% | 16% | 42% | -184% | 41% | 17% | 56% | 328% | 62% | 32% | — |
| Net Profit | -3,939 | -497 | -4,169 | 17,743 | 9,122 | 1,174 | 8,190 | 41,749 | 8,075 | -4,910 | 3,174 | 10,886 | 11,264 |
| EPS in Rs | -3.48 | -0.34 | -3.76 | 11.93 | 9.07 | 1.38 | 6.26 | 32.88 | 7.17 | -3.55 | 2.74 | 8.65 | 8.83 |
| Div. Payout % | -20% | -203% | -23% | 9% | 15% | 74% | 40% | 16% | 50% | -101% | 131% | 46% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 971 | 970 | 970 | 1,145 | 1,145 | 1,145 | 1,198 | 1,221 | 1,221 | 1,247 | 1,247 | 1,247 |
| Reserves | 30,378 | 42,762 | 36,849 | 59,726 | 67,780 | 72,431 | 73,041 | 1,13,222 | 1,01,861 | 90,788 | 89,922 | 1,00,920 |
| Borrowings | 80,701 | 81,987 | 83,014 | 92,147 | 1,00,816 | 1,16,328 | 88,501 | 75,561 | 84,893 | 87,082 | 94,801 | 92,382 |
| Other Liabilities | 47,059 | 51,165 | 51,614 | 55,704 | 63,032 | 59,245 | 81,169 | 92,417 | 97,421 | 90,195 | 89,488 | 1,01,965 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,59,109 | 1,76,884 | 1,72,447 | 2,08,722 | 2,32,773 | 2,49,149 | 2,43,909 | 2,82,422 | 2,85,396 | 2,69,312 | 2,75,459 | 2,96,515 |
| Fixed Assets | 68,100 | 72,200 | 92,007 | 96,105 | 1,24,442 | 1,34,551 | 1,35,775 | 1,33,288 | 1,46,621 | 1,48,814 | 1,50,914 | 1,79,908 |
| CWIP | 28,678 | 35,996 | 15,784 | 16,614 | 18,641 | 19,497 | 19,007 | 22,046 | 31,213 | 34,356 | 41,622 | 28,497 |
| Investments | 3,455 | 10,714 | 12,457 | 17,899 | 5,738 | 6,285 | 10,682 | 13,140 | 8,410 | 6,258 | 6,194 | 7,089 |
| Other Assets | 58,876 | 57,974 | 52,200 | 78,103 | 83,952 | 88,816 | 78,445 | 1,13,948 | 99,151 | 79,885 | 76,728 | 81,021 |
| Total Assets | 1,59,109 | 1,76,884 | 1,72,447 | 2,08,722 | 2,32,773 | 2,49,149 | 2,43,909 | 2,82,422 | 2,85,396 | 2,69,312 | 2,75,459 | 2,96,515 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 11,880 | 11,455 | 10,824 | 8,023 | 25,336 | 20,169 | 44,327 | 44,381 | 21,683 | 20,301 | 23,138 | 35,064 |
| Investing | -9,021 | -8,794 | -9,490 | -11,730 | -29,176 | -14,012 | -9,437 | -10,905 | -18,179 | -14,253 | -13,611 | -14,397 |
| Financing | -2,617 | -4,729 | -2,579 | 6,640 | -673 | -1,695 | -37,090 | -23,401 | -6,981 | -11,097 | -7,002 | -21,387 |
| Net Cash Flow | 241 | -2,068 | -1,245 | 2,933 | -4,513 | 4,462 | -2,200 | 10,075 | -3,477 | -5,049 | 2,524 | -720 |
| Free Cash Flow | -169 | 1,523 | 3,397 | 724 | 16,712 | 10,156 | 37,793 | 34,428 | 7,868 | 2,569 | 8,731 | 21,906 |
| CFO/OP | 420 | -2,078 | 96 | 51 | 104 | 128 | 148 | 89 | 84 | 115 | 103 | 115 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 35 | 43 | 38 | 37 | 27 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Inventory Days | 165 | 180 | 230 | 224 | 190 | 197 | 215 | 213 | 175 | 176 | 171 | 184 |
| Days Payable | 126 | 167 | 172 | 161 | 130 | 136 | 167 | 161 | 122 | 108 | 113 | 136 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 74 | 56 | 96 | 99 | 87 | 82 | 69 | 71 | 66 | 78 | 67 | 56 |
| Working Capital Days | -6 | -47 | -32 | -31 | -18 | -38 | -55 | -34 | -42 | -59 | -50 | -56 |
| ROCE % | 1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 6% | 12% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 13% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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61 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY08–FY27.
Documents
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Company Information
Tata Steel Ltd is Asia's first integrated private steel company setup in 1907.[1] The company has presence across the entire value chain of steel manufacturing from mining and processing iron ore and coal to producing and distributing finished products.[2] The company has a target to increase domestic steelmaking capacity to 30 MnTPA by 2025.[3]
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