Jindal Stainless
Jindal Stainless
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AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Jindal Stainless Ltd, with a market cap of ~₹61,774 crore, is India's largest stainless steel producer. The company reported FY25 standalone revenue of ~₹40,182 crore and PAT of ~₹2,711 crore, with a net debt-to-EBITDA of 0.6x. The stock trades at a P/E of 19.4x and P/B of 3.19x, with a 5-year profit CAGR of 55% but moderating recent sales growth at 10% TTM.
- Strong 5-year compounded profit growth of 55% CAGR, significantly outpacing sales growth of 29%, indicating meaningful margin expansion and operating leverage over the cycle
- Healthy balance sheet with standalone net debt-to-EBITDA at just 0.6x as of FY25, providing substantial headroom to fund the planned ₹5,700 crore capex program without overleveraging
- Ambitious capacity expansion targeting 3.5 MTPA sales volumes by FY29 (up from ~2.57 MTPA in FY26), with ₹2,600 crore capex planned for FY27 alone to expand downstream processing and higher-value products
- Consistent return on equity averaging 18-21% over the last 3-to-5-year period, reflecting disciplined capital allocation in a capital-intensive metals business
- FY26 revenue rose to ~₹42,955 crore with operating profit of ~₹5,560 crore (OPM ~12.8%), an improvement from FY25's 11.8% OPM, showing margin recovery despite import headwinds
- 10-year stock CAGR of 42% and 10-year compounded sales growth of 20% demonstrate a long track record of value creation through business cycles
- Diversified manufacturing footprint across 16 facilities in India, Spain, and Indonesia as of FY25, reducing geographic concentration risk and enabling access to multiple markets
- India's anti-dumping investigation into cold-rolled stainless steel imports from China, Japan, Korea, EU, and others (initiated August 2024) could result in protective duties that strengthen JSL's domestic pricing power
- Sales growth has decelerated sharply — TTM compounded sales growth is just 10% and 3-year CAGR is only 6%, down significantly from the 5-year CAGR of 29%, suggesting volume or pricing headwinds
- Cheap Chinese and Vietnamese stainless steel imports are entering India at $52-63 per ton below domestic grades, pressuring domestic realizations and margins despite robust demand
- Heavy capex cycle with ₹5,700 crore planned in FY26 alone (after ₹4,500 crore spent in FY25 against ₹5,500 crore guidance), creating execution risk on timeline and return on invested capital
- P/B ratio of 3.19x is elevated for a metals and mining company, suggesting the stock is pricing in significant future growth that must materialize to justify the valuation
- Dividend yield of just 0.52% offers minimal income cushion to shareholders, particularly in a rising interest rate environment where risk-free alternatives yield significantly more
- FY25 PAT declined to ~₹2,500 crore from ~₹2,693 crore in FY24 (a ~7% drop), even as revenue was broadly flat, highlighting vulnerability of profitability to input cost and pricing swings
- The proposed ₹40,000 crore greenfield Maharashtra investment is still at land acquisition stage, introducing multi-year execution uncertainty and a long gestation period before returns materialize
- Europe is tightening steel imports, with Indian steel exports to the EU and UK expected to fall by up to 40% this fiscal, potentially redirecting more volume to the already competitive domestic market
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Stock under pressure at ₹730 Sep 07
Despite strong Q1 FY27 results, JSL stock fell 1.04% to ₹730 on BSE, well below its 52-week high of ₹1,306 hit on Apr 21, 2026.
- ₹900 cr cold rolling expansion Aug 16
Jindal Stainless is investing ₹900 crore to raise cold rolling capacity from 2.05 MTPA to 2.67 MTPA by FY28 across Hisar, Kharagpur, and Jajpur facilities.
- Strong FY26 financials, 200% dividend Aug 16
FY26 revenue at ₹42,955 crore, EBITDA up 19.2% YoY to ₹5,560 crore, PAT up 27.4% to ₹3,185 crore. Board declared 200% final dividend (₹2/share) with Aug 21 record date. PL Capital has a Buy with ₹1,298 target.
- ₹40,000 cr Maharashtra mega plant Aug 16
JSL is identifying a site for a proposed ₹40,000 crore stainless steel facility in Maharashtra targeting hydrogen, nuclear, defence, and infrastructure sectors.
- JFE Steel ferritic tech partnership Sep 07
Jindal Stainless signed a Technical Assistance Agreement with Japan's JFE Steel on Sep 7, 2026 to enhance ferritic stainless steel quality for automotive, railway, and infrastructure applications.
- Coin blank capacity up 20% Aug 30
JSL expanding coin blank capacity from 10,000 to 12,000 tonnes annually. Its Hisar SPD holds 60-70% global market share and supplies blanks to 8+ international mints.
- ESG-integrated digital procurement Sep 09
Jindal Stainless deployed SAP Ariba Supplier Risk to shift ESG supplier assessment from manual checks to continuous digital monitoring.
- Promoter stake increase via open market Sep 08
JSL Overseas acquired 6,41,817 shares on Sep 3-4, raising its holding to 17.20%, signaling promoter confidence.
- HR digital transformation wins Aug 19
Won Gold and Silver at People Matters Infini-T Awards 2026 for digital HR transformation, achieving 91% drop in helpdesk tickets and eNPS of 64.
- AGM clears dividend, reappointment Sep 03
Shareholders approved all five resolutions at the 46th AGM on Sep 2, 2026, including ₹3 final dividend per share and reappointment of Chairman Ratan Jindal.
- Investor meet at Elara Dialogue Aug 31
JSL scheduled to participate in Ashwamedh - Elara India Dialogue 2026 investor meet in Mumbai on Sep 3, 2026.
- Green energy push at Hisar Aug 30
Hisar facility targeting 80% green energy usage this year (up from 70%), with zero liquid discharge and ~47% renewable electricity across operations in FY26. Net zero target by 2050.
TL;DR: Jindal Stainless is executing well on multiple fronts — strong FY26 financials (PAT up 27.4%, record 2.57 MT sales volume), aggressive capacity expansion via ₹900 crore cold rolling investment and a planned ₹40,000 crore Maharashtra facility, and strategic tech partnerships with JFE Steel. Balance sheet remains healthy at 0.15x net debt-to-equity. The key risk is the significant stock price decline from its ₹1,306 high to ₹730 levels despite improving fundamentals, suggesting market-wide or sector-specific headwinds. The growth trajectory remains firmly positive with multiple catalysts ahead through FY28.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 10,184 | 9,797 | 9,127 | 9,454 | 9,430 | 9,777 | 9,907 | 10,198 | 10,207 | 10,893 | 10,518 | 11,337 | 11,279 |
| Expenses | 8,992 | 8,566 | 7,881 | 8,419 | 8,219 | 8,590 | 8,714 | 9,165 | 8,911 | 9,519 | 9,110 | 9,882 | 9,949 |
| Operating Profit | 1,192 | 1,231 | 1,246 | 1,035 | 1,210 | 1,186 | 1,193 | 1,033 | 1,296 | 1,374 | 1,408 | 1,455 | 1,329 |
| OPM % | 12% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% |
| Other Income | 76 | 140 | 52 | 53 | 51 | 47 | 99 | 87 | 69 | 107 | 77 | 84 | 153 |
| Interest | 100 | 156 | 146 | 153 | 143 | 159 | 161 | 150 | 144 | 141 | 134 | 149 | 146 |
| Depreciation | 188 | 222 | 236 | 233 | 232 | 241 | 242 | 241 | 252 | 262 | 269 | 278 | 302 |
| PBT | 981 | 993 | 917 | 702 | 886 | 834 | 890 | 729 | 969 | 1,078 | 1,082 | 1,112 | 1,034 |
| Tax % | 25% | 23% | 25% | 29% | 27% | 27% | 26% | 19% | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 738 | 764 | 691 | 501 | 646 | 609 | 654 | 590 | 715 | 808 | 828 | 834 | 769 |
| EPS in Rs | 9.06 | 9.4 | 8.41 | 6.08 | 7.87 | 7.42 | 7.95 | 7.17 | 8.67 | 9.79 | 10.05 | 10.23 | 9.33 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 6,933 | 7,144 | 9,279 | 11,638 | 13,557 | 12,951 | 12,188 | 32,733 | 35,697 | 38,562 | 39,312 | 42,955 | 44,026 |
| Expenses | 6,564 | 6,571 | 8,113 | 10,294 | 12,392 | 11,819 | 10,764 | 27,642 | 32,111 | 34,052 | 34,844 | 37,473 | 38,460 |
| Operating Profit | 368 | 573 | 1,166 | 1,343 | 1,165 | 1,132 | 1,424 | 5,090 | 3,586 | 4,511 | 4,469 | 5,482 | 5,566 |
| OPM % | 5% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 13% |
| Other Income | 1,238 | -14 | 63 | 62 | 45 | 44 | 148 | 171 | 236 | 515 | 438 | 388 | 421 |
| Interest | 942 | 1,030 | 788 | 566 | 637 | 586 | 480 | 344 | 325 | 554 | 612 | 568 | 570 |
| Depreciation | 411 | 316 | 325 | 320 | 352 | 425 | 403 | 759 | 724 | 879 | 956 | 1,060 | 1,111 |
| PBT | 253 | -788 | 116 | 520 | 222 | 165 | 690 | 4,159 | 2,774 | 3,592 | 3,339 | 4,242 | 4,307 |
| Tax % | 0% | -29% | 28% | 34% | 35% | 56% | 39% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | — |
| Net Profit | 253 | -556 | 83 | 346 | 145 | 73 | 419 | 3,109 | 2,084 | 2,693 | 2,500 | 3,185 | 3,239 |
| EPS in Rs | 11.17 | -24.05 | 2.04 | 7.16 | 2.97 | 1.46 | 8.6 | 58.59 | 25.68 | 32.95 | 30.41 | 38.74 | 39.4 |
| Div. Payout % | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 45 | 46 | 80 | 96 | 96 | 97 | 97 | 105 | 165 | 165 | 165 | 165 |
| Reserves | -214 | 1,666 | 1,734 | 2,369 | 2,495 | 2,620 | 3,108 | 9,718 | 11,766 | 14,193 | 16,523 | 19,626 |
| Borrowings | 11,289 | 10,347 | 5,888 | 5,015 | 4,388 | 3,903 | 3,230 | 4,007 | 3,958 | 6,052 | 6,402 | 7,460 |
| Other Liabilities | 2,898 | 2,798 | 3,208 | 3,354 | 3,736 | 4,057 | 4,300 | 8,746 | 11,226 | 10,355 | 12,827 | 13,189 |
| Total Liabilities | 14,018 | 14,858 | 10,909 | 10,834 | 10,715 | 10,678 | 10,735 | 22,576 | 27,115 | 30,765 | 35,917 | 40,441 |
| Fixed Assets | 7,552 | 6,863 | 6,609 | 6,342 | 6,345 | 6,181 | 5,855 | 8,646 | 9,961 | 13,254 | 14,800 | 18,217 |
| CWIP | 144 | 70 | 29 | 144 | 29 | 15 | 58 | 525 | 773 | 1,112 | 1,783 | 1,806 |
| Investments | 14 | 393 | 404 | 439 | 454 | 449 | 456 | 626 | 970 | 1,246 | 1,646 | 1,547 |
| Other Assets | 6,308 | 7,532 | 3,868 | 3,909 | 3,887 | 4,033 | 4,365 | 12,779 | 15,411 | 15,152 | 17,688 | 18,871 |
| Total Assets | 14,018 | 14,858 | 10,909 | 10,834 | 10,715 | 10,678 | 10,735 | 22,576 | 27,115 | 30,765 | 35,917 | 40,441 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 554 | 966 | 5,115 | 1,452 | 1,419 | 1,180 | 1,308 | 1,038 | 3,096 | 4,818 | 4,718 | 3,395 |
| Investing | -1 | 1,053 | -30 | -194 | -192 | -186 | -152 | -985 | -2,480 | -3,229 | -3,433 | -3,500 |
| Financing | -580 | -1,972 | -5,106 | -1,257 | -1,237 | -991 | -1,119 | 101 | -386 | -829 | -1,882 | -112 |
| Net Cash Flow | -28 | 47 | -21 | 1 | -11 | 4 | 37 | 154 | 229 | 760 | -597 | -217 |
| Free Cash Flow | 556 | 798 | 5,057 | 1,258 | 1,213 | 1,006 | 1,145 | 70 | 1,448 | 3,367 | 2,890 | 755 |
| CFO/OP | 139 | 166 | 441 | 107 | 122 | 104 | 91 | 37 | 107 | 123 | 119 | 80 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 57 | 48 | 35 | 28 | 25 | 20 | 28 | 43 | 37 | 27 | 29 | 26 |
| Inventory Days | 147 | 154 | 133 | 116 | 96 | 117 | 130 | 116 | 125 | 108 | 132 | 122 |
| Days Payable | 104 | 143 | 119 | 104 | 99 | 113 | 123 | 98 | 117 | 95 | 124 | 106 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 101 | 59 | 50 | 41 | 22 | 23 | 35 | 61 | 46 | 41 | 36 | 42 |
| Working Capital Days | 29 | 75 | -77 | -20 | -19 | -24 | -2 | 33 | 30 | 23 | 12 | 5 |
| ROCE % | 0% | 2% | 9% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 16% | 44% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 19% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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63 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY07–FY27.
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Company Information
Jindal Stainless Ltd is one of the largest manufacturers of Stainless Steel flat products, in Austenitic, Ferritic, Martensitic and Duplex grades in India used in a variety of industries like automobile, railways, construction, consumer goods etc. [1]
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