MRF
MRF
AutomobilesKey Fundamentals
MidcapTyresAutomobilesTapetide Score
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Key Insights
Weaknesses
1- Company has a low return on equity of 12.1% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
MRF Ltd, India's largest tyre manufacturer by market cap at ₹53,977 Cr, trades at a PE of 22.5x with a 3-year ROE of 12%. The company has delivered strong TTM profit growth of 37% and consistent 11% sales CAGR over 3 years, though the stock has declined 12% over the past year.
- TTM profit growth of 37% indicates a sharp earnings recovery, suggesting improved margins and operational efficiency
- Compounded profit growth of 52% over the last 3 years reflects a sustained earnings turnaround from a low base
- Consistent sales CAGR of 11% over both TTM and 3-year periods shows stable top-line momentum
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 14% outpaces the 10-year CAGR of 4%, indicating an acceleration in revenue trajectory
- ROE has improved from a 5-year average of 10% to 13% in the last year, showing an upward trend in capital efficiency
- PE of 22.5x is reasonable relative to the 37% TTM profit growth, implying a PEG ratio below 1
- 10-year stock CAGR of 13% demonstrates long-term wealth creation track record
- Stock has declined 12% over the past 1 year, underperforming broader market indices significantly
- 3-year average ROE of only 12.1% is below the 15% threshold typically expected for quality compounders
- 10-year compounded profit growth of 0% indicates the company struggled to grow earnings meaningfully over a full cycle
- Dividend yield of just 0.18% offers negligible income return to shareholders despite the company's large market cap
- Price-to-book ratio of 2.59x is elevated for a business generating only 12-13% ROE, suggesting limited margin of safety
- 3-year stock CAGR of only 6% lags the 52% profit CAGR over the same period, indicating the market has derated the stock
- 5-year profit CAGR of 14% is identical to sales CAGR, suggesting limited operating leverage benefit over that period
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Gross margin crushed 570bps Aug 20
Gross margins contracted 570 basis points sequentially to 32.7% in Q1FY27 due to intense input cost inflation from natural rubber and crude derivatives.
- EBITDA hits six-quarter low Aug 20
Standalone EBITDA slumped 8% YoY to ₹948.6 crore, a six-quarter low, while operating margin hit a multi-quarter low.
- Raw material costs rising further Aug 20
Anand Rathi warns of an 8-10% rise in MRF's raw-material basket in Q2FY27, driven by Middle East conflicts and supply-chain disruptions.
- Stock down 13% in 2026 Aug 20
MRF shares have declined around 13% so far in 2026 and trade at an expensive 20x estimated FY28 earnings per Bloomberg data.
- New competition threatens share Aug 20
Entry of Balkrishna Industries and rising railway competition along the Western Dedicated Freight Corridor threaten M&HCV replacement demand and could trigger pricing wars.
- Price hikes lag peers Aug 20
MRF has implemented only single-digit price hikes in the replacement market, which still lag behind listed peers, limiting margin recovery.
- Revenue up 10% YoY Aug 20
Standalone revenue rose 10% YoY to ₹8,291.56 crore in Q1FY27, supported by replacement and OEM demand along with calibrated price hikes.
- Other income surged 53% Aug 20
Other income jumped 53% YoY to ₹191.48 crore, partially offsetting the margin pressure on bottom-line performance.
TL;DR: MRF's topline grew a healthy 10% YoY in Q1FY27 on steady replacement and OEM demand, but severe input cost inflation crushed gross margins by 570bps and pushed EBITDA to a six-quarter low. Rising competition from Balkrishna Industries and railways adds structural risk to the M&HCV segment. With raw material costs expected to climb another 8-10% in Q2FY27 and price hikes lagging peers, the margin trajectory is deteriorating and near-term earnings visibility remains weak.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 6,440 | 6,217 | 6,162 | 6,349 | 7,196 | 6,881 | 7,001 | 7,075 | 7,676 | 7,379 | 8,050 | 8,044 | 8,416 |
| Expenses | 5,310 | 5,060 | 5,108 | 5,437 | 6,037 | 5,870 | 6,166 | 6,000 | 6,605 | 6,253 | 6,651 | 6,739 | 7,425 |
| Operating Profit | 1,130 | 1,157 | 1,055 | 912 | 1,160 | 1,011 | 835 | 1,074 | 1,070 | 1,126 | 1,400 | 1,305 | 991 |
| OPM % | 18% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 12% |
| Other Income | 75 | 71 | 78 | 94 | 84 | 113 | 98 | 115 | 129 | 108 | 50 | 153 | 195 |
| Interest | 84 | 86 | 90 | 93 | 85 | 84 | 94 | 98 | 98 | 90 | 91 | 86 | 88 |
| Depreciation | 333 | 351 | 360 | 385 | 396 | 410 | 415 | 433 | 429 | 445 | 438 | 442 | 448 |
| PBT | 787 | 791 | 682 | 527 | 763 | 631 | 424 | 659 | 672 | 699 | 920 | 930 | 650 |
| Tax % | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | 24% |
| Net Profit | 589 | 587 | 510 | 396 | 571 | 471 | 315 | 510 | 502 | 526 | 695 | 702 | 495 |
| EPS in Rs | 1,388 | 1,383 | 1,202 | 934 | 1,346 | 1,110 | 744 | 1,204 | 1,183 | 1,239 | 1,638 | 1,656 | 1,168 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Sep 2014 | Mar 2016 18m | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 13,329 | 20,179 | 13,412 | 14,954 | 16,062 | 16,237 | 16,162 | 19,317 | 23,008 | 25,169 | 28,152 | 31,149 | 31,889 |
| Expenses | 11,384 | 15,743 | 10,763 | 12,665 | 13,744 | 13,855 | 13,208 | 17,256 | 20,604 | 20,896 | 24,062 | 26,238 | 27,068 |
| Operating Profit | 1,945 | 4,437 | 2,649 | 2,288 | 2,317 | 2,382 | 2,954 | 2,061 | 2,404 | 4,272 | 4,090 | 4,910 | 4,821 |
| OPM % | 15% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 15% | 16% | 15% |
| Other Income | 63 | 317 | 327 | 330 | 416 | 335 | 205 | 315 | 245 | 306 | 414 | 440 | 506 |
| Interest | 232 | 361 | 257 | 259 | 273 | 301 | 282 | 263 | 326 | 361 | 368 | 374 | 356 |
| Depreciation | 424 | 737 | 611 | 707 | 808 | 982 | 1,141 | 1,205 | 1,253 | 1,430 | 1,654 | 1,754 | 1,773 |
| PBT | 1,353 | 3,656 | 2,109 | 1,653 | 1,652 | 1,434 | 1,737 | 908 | 1,070 | 2,787 | 2,483 | 3,222 | 3,198 |
| Tax % | 33% | 31% | 30% | 32% | 32% | 1% | 26% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 25% | 25% | — |
| Net Profit | 908 | 2,509 | 1,486 | 1,132 | 1,131 | 1,423 | 1,277 | 669 | 769 | 2,081 | 1,873 | 2,426 | 2,418 |
| EPS in Rs | 2,142 | 5,917 | 3,504 | 2,668 | 2,666 | 3,354 | 3,011 | 1,578 | 1,813 | 4,907 | 4,417 | 5,720 | 5,701 |
| Div. Payout % | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 4% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Sep 2014 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Reserves | 4,535 | 7,220 | 8,637 | 9,734 | 10,833 | 12,210 | 13,409 | 14,028 | 14,703 | 16,699 | 18,606 | 20,970 |
| Borrowings | 1,903 | 2,464 | 2,333 | 2,163 | 2,506 | 1,854 | 2,388 | 3,229 | 3,014 | 2,822 | 3,771 | 3,207 |
| Other Liabilities | 3,391 | 3,566 | 4,075 | 4,577 | 5,098 | 5,373 | 6,780 | 5,799 | 6,648 | 7,325 | 7,308 | 7,772 |
| Total Liabilities | 9,833 | 13,254 | 15,048 | 16,478 | 18,441 | 19,442 | 22,582 | 23,060 | 24,369 | 26,849 | 29,689 | 31,954 |
| Fixed Assets | 3,436 | 4,608 | 5,502 | 6,092 | 6,786 | 8,870 | 9,441 | 9,522 | 10,118 | 12,046 | 13,223 | 12,966 |
| CWIP | 628 | 1,059 | 848 | 1,079 | 1,403 | 1,741 | 1,002 | 1,233 | 3,046 | 2,385 | 1,169 | 1,034 |
| Investments | 1,081 | 3,138 | 3,382 | 4,145 | 3,855 | 1,519 | 5,874 | 3,656 | 3,085 | 3,383 | 4,548 | 3,398 |
| Other Assets | 4,688 | 4,448 | 5,316 | 5,162 | 6,397 | 7,312 | 6,265 | 8,648 | 8,120 | 9,036 | 10,750 | 14,555 |
| Total Assets | 9,833 | 13,254 | 15,048 | 16,478 | 18,441 | 19,442 | 22,582 | 23,060 | 24,369 | 26,849 | 29,689 | 31,954 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Sep 2014 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 1,699 | 3,043 | 1,956 | 2,413 | 1,253 | 2,271 | 4,325 | -578 | 2,755 | 3,303 | 1,865 | 4,590 |
| Investing | -1,791 | -3,408 | -1,393 | -2,014 | -1,386 | -162 | -5,087 | 166 | -1,922 | -2,381 | -2,077 | -3,539 |
| Financing | 67 | 212 | -438 | -453 | 42 | -1,032 | -250 | 424 | -840 | -868 | 282 | -1,120 |
| Net Cash Flow | -24 | -152 | 125 | -53 | -91 | 1,077 | -1,012 | 12 | -6 | 55 | 70 | -69 |
| Free Cash Flow | 454 | 737 | 590 | 849 | -710 | -479 | 3,473 | -2,283 | -535 | 1,141 | 569 | 3,164 |
| CFO/OP | 109 | 95 | 89 | 126 | 72 | 114 | 164 | -18 | 128 | 94 | 60 | 107 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Sep 2014 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 47 | 33 | 54 | 52 | 54 | 52 | 48 | 44 | 40 | 42 | 44 | 42 |
| Inventory Days | 79 | 62 | 118 | 88 | 113 | 110 | 115 | 120 | 98 | 108 | 115 | 101 |
| Days Payable | 50 | 36 | 69 | 63 | 64 | 72 | 129 | 60 | 58 | 64 | 57 | 60 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 76 | 58 | 103 | 78 | 102 | 90 | 34 | 104 | 80 | 86 | 101 | 83 |
| Working Capital Days | 30 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 2 | 5 | -41 | 10 | -8 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| ROCE % | 27% | 49% | 23% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 16% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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63 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY10–FY26.
Documents
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Company Information
Madras Rubber Factory Limited (MRF) is the parent company of the MRF Group. The Co is engaged in the business of manufacturing tyres[1]
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