Bharat Forge
Bharat Forge
Automobiles F&OKey Fundamentals
MidcapAuto ComponentsAutomobilesTapetide Score
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Key Insights
Strengths
2- Company has delivered good profit growth of 38.6% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 41.6%
Weaknesses
3- Stock is trading at 9.71 times its book value
- Company has a low return on equity of 12.2% over last 3 years.
- Company might be capitalizing the interest cost
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Bharat Forge Ltd commands a market cap of ₹91,463 Cr with a PE of 130.3x and a price-to-book of 9.73x, reflecting rich valuations. The company has delivered strong 5-year profit CAGR of ~39% and maintains a 41.6% dividend payout, but ROE remains modest at 12% and TTM profit growth has turned negative at -2%.
- Strong 5-year compounded profit growth of 39% CAGR demonstrates earnings momentum over the medium term
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 41.6% signals management commitment to returning capital to shareholders
- TTM sales growth of 18% indicates continued top-line expansion and demand traction across segments
- 3-year compounded profit growth of 33% CAGR shows sustained earnings improvement beyond a single-year recovery
- Stock CAGR of 61% over 1 year reflects strong market confidence and momentum in the counter
- 10-year stock CAGR of 17% demonstrates long-term wealth creation track record for patient holders
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 22% points to a structural expansion in revenue base, not just cyclical recovery
- PE ratio of 130.3x is extremely elevated, leaving little margin of safety if earnings disappoint
- TTM compounded profit growth has turned negative at -2%, signaling recent earnings pressure despite high valuations
- Price-to-book of 9.73x is very steep, well above typical industrial sector multiples
- Return on equity of 12% over 3 years and 5 years is modest for a stock commanding such premium multiples
- 10-year compounded profit CAGR of only 5% suggests long-term earnings growth has been inconsistent
- 10-year compounded sales CAGR of 9% indicates moderate long-term revenue growth relative to current valuation premium
- Potential capitalization of interest costs raises questions about the true cost structure and reported profitability
- Dividend yield of just 0.43% offers limited income cushion at current price levels despite the healthy payout ratio
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Q1 net loss on exceptionals Sep 10
Bharat Forge posted a net loss of ₹90 crore in the June quarter vs ₹284 crore profit a year ago, driven by ₹358 crore in exceptional charges. EBITDA margin narrowed 170 bps to 15.29%.
- Stock down 13.7% in a month Sep 10
Despite strong long-term returns (+65% 1Y, +153% 5Y), the stock fell 13.7% over the past month and closed at ₹1,946 on Sep 10, down 1.7% on the day.
- Refu Drive JV stake exited Sep 02
Kalyani Powertrain completed the sale of its 50% stake in EV drivetrain JV Refu Drive GmbH back to partner Refu Elektronik, ending the joint venture.
- FY26 profit jumps 19% Aug 28
Bharat Forge reported FY26 net profit of ₹10,894 crore (+19% YoY) on consolidated revenue of ₹168,117 crore (+11%), with an order book of ₹111,967 crore.
- Jefferies picks Bharat Forge Sep 07
Jefferies named Bharat Forge a preferred idea in auto ancillaries, noting the sector delivered 19% YoY EBIT growth in Q1 vs 10% for OEMs, with 16 of 20 component companies outperforming the Nifty Auto Index CYTD.
- Defence pacts with Thales, FN Herstal Sep 03
Subsidiary KSSL signed a strategic alliance with Thales for 70mm rocket assembly in India (first fully India-produced rocket targeted early 2027) and an MoU with FN Herstal for small arms and counter-UAS manufacturing.
- Q1 revenue up 18.7% YoY Sep 10
Despite the net loss, June-quarter revenue grew 18.7% YoY to ₹4,640 crore and EBITDA rose to ₹709.4 crore from ₹670 crore a year ago.
- German subsidiary merger completed Sep 10
Bharat Forge merged Bharat Forge Holding GmbH into Bharat Forge Global Holding GmbH effective Aug 25, simplifying its German legal structure with no financial impact or change in shareholding.
- Singapore investor meet scheduled Sep 03
Bharat Forge scheduled institutional investor group meetings in Singapore on Sep 8, 2026, with no unpublished price-sensitive information to be shared.
- Mumbai investor meet on Sep 3 Aug 28
Bharat Forge scheduled an institutional investor meeting in Mumbai on Sep 3, 2026, confirming no UPSI would be disclosed.
TL;DR: Bharat Forge delivered strong FY26 results with 19% profit growth and a ₹1.12 lakh crore order book, while actively expanding its defence portfolio through Thales and FN Herstal partnerships. The June-quarter net loss was driven by one-off exceptional items rather than operational weakness, as underlying revenue grew 18.7% YoY. The stock has corrected ~14% over the past month, creating a valuation reset even as Jefferies flagged it as a top pick. The forward outlook hinges on defence order execution, margin recovery from fading exceptionals, and whether the strong order book converts into sustained earnings growth.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 3,877 | 3,774 | 3,866 | 4,164 | 4,106 | 3,689 | 3,476 | 3,853 | 3,909 | 4,032 | 4,343 | 4,528 | 4,640 |
| Expenses | 3,282 | 3,153 | 3,169 | 3,521 | 3,365 | 3,042 | 2,853 | 3,174 | 3,239 | 3,308 | 3,597 | 3,751 | 3,942 |
| Operating Profit | 595 | 621 | 698 | 643 | 741 | 647 | 623 | 679 | 670 | 724 | 746 | 777 | 698 |
| OPM % | 15% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 15% |
| Other Income | 67 | 51 | 58 | 45 | -99 | 62 | 38 | 57 | 50 | 54 | -13 | -46 | -301 |
| Interest | 114 | 124 | 137 | 116 | 124 | 110 | 96 | 88 | 82 | 80 | 77 | 84 | 90 |
| Depreciation | 206 | 211 | 224 | 207 | 218 | 213 | 218 | 224 | 226 | 241 | 249 | 255 | 263 |
| PBT | 341 | 337 | 395 | 366 | 300 | 385 | 347 | 424 | 411 | 457 | 407 | 392 | 44 |
| Tax % | 37% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 42% | 37% | 39% | 33% | 31% | 34% | 33% | 40% | 302% |
| Net Profit | 214 | 215 | 254 | 227 | 175 | 243 | 213 | 283 | 284 | 299 | 273 | 233 | -90 |
| EPS in Rs | 4.8 | 4.88 | 5.68 | 5.07 | 4.36 | 5.23 | 4.45 | 5.9 | 5.93 | 6.26 | 5.53 | 4.86 | -1.88 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 7,622 | 6,809 | 6,396 | 8,358 | 10,146 | 8,056 | 6,336 | 10,461 | 12,910 | 15,682 | 15,123 | 16,812 | 17,543 |
| Expenses | 6,232 | 5,397 | 5,276 | 6,635 | 8,098 | 6,984 | 5,504 | 8,478 | 11,174 | 13,121 | 12,431 | 13,894 | 14,597 |
| Operating Profit | 1,390 | 1,413 | 1,121 | 1,723 | 2,048 | 1,072 | 832 | 1,983 | 1,737 | 2,562 | 2,692 | 2,917 | 2,946 |
| OPM % | 18% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 19% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 17% |
| Other Income | 226 | 148 | 391 | 46 | 199 | 109 | -138 | 288 | 124 | 217 | 55 | 44 | -306 |
| Interest | 136 | 116 | 100 | 107 | 127 | 171 | 108 | 160 | 299 | 491 | 417 | 323 | 331 |
| Depreciation | 362 | 453 | 452 | 467 | 521 | 548 | 612 | 730 | 736 | 848 | 874 | 971 | 1,008 |
| PBT | 1,118 | 992 | 960 | 1,196 | 1,599 | 462 | -25 | 1,381 | 827 | 1,439 | 1,456 | 1,667 | 1,301 |
| Tax % | 32% | 32% | 26% | 37% | 35% | 24% | 399% | 22% | 39% | 37% | 37% | 35% | — |
| Net Profit | 760 | 675 | 711 | 754 | 1,033 | 349 | -127 | 1,077 | 508 | 910 | 913 | 1,089 | 716 |
| EPS in Rs | 16.38 | 14.57 | 15.13 | 16.38 | 22.17 | 7.51 | -2.71 | 23.23 | 11.35 | 20.43 | 19.69 | 22.58 | 14.77 |
| Div. Payout % | 23% | 26% | 25% | 27% | 23% | 47% | -74% | 30% | 62% | 44% | 43% | 38% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 47 | 47 | 47 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 96 | 96 |
| Reserves | 3,398 | 3,367 | 4,070 | 4,559 | 5,283 | 5,127 | 5,322 | 6,478 | 6,612 | 7,077 | 9,158 | 9,484 |
| Borrowings | 2,546 | 3,375 | 3,124 | 3,257 | 4,029 | 4,469 | 5,271 | 5,972 | 7,313 | 7,948 | 6,698 | 7,309 |
| Other Liabilities | 2,245 | 1,504 | 1,600 | 2,068 | 2,173 | 1,793 | 2,402 | 2,950 | 4,216 | 4,066 | 4,017 | 5,350 |
| Total Liabilities | 8,236 | 8,292 | 8,841 | 9,977 | 11,578 | 11,482 | 13,088 | 15,492 | 18,235 | 19,184 | 19,968 | 22,238 |
| Fixed Assets | 2,629 | 3,134 | 3,277 | 3,500 | 3,625 | 4,002 | 4,750 | 4,870 | 6,161 | 6,309 | 6,627 | 8,215 |
| CWIP | 870 | 409 | 453 | 344 | 831 | 1,143 | 900 | 1,125 | 701 | 991 | 1,732 | 1,298 |
| Investments | 496 | 886 | 1,192 | 1,501 | 1,524 | 1,618 | 2,607 | 2,604 | 2,569 | 1,849 | 2,063 | 1,738 |
| Other Assets | 4,242 | 3,863 | 3,919 | 4,632 | 5,599 | 4,720 | 4,831 | 6,893 | 8,804 | 10,034 | 9,547 | 10,987 |
| Total Assets | 8,236 | 8,292 | 8,841 | 9,977 | 11,578 | 11,482 | 13,088 | 15,492 | 18,235 | 19,184 | 19,968 | 22,238 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 1,035 | 1,356 | 1,052 | 967 | 911 | 1,522 | 1,020 | 506 | 1,294 | 1,664 | 1,796 | 1,487 |
| Investing | -467 | -888 | -737 | -722 | -1,196 | -1,114 | -1,511 | -690 | -1,666 | -665 | -1,964 | -1,038 |
| Financing | -360 | -448 | -401 | -314 | 368 | -381 | 578 | 310 | 280 | -203 | -570 | -442 |
| Net Cash Flow | 208 | 19 | -86 | -69 | 83 | 26 | 87 | 126 | -91 | 796 | -738 | 6 |
| Free Cash Flow | 326 | 465 | 408 | 399 | -220 | 565 | 129 | -459 | 325 | 164 | 352 | 374 |
| CFO/OP | 104 | 118 | 118 | 79 | 71 | 164 | 134 | 43 | 99 | 85 | 89 | 70 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 41 | 75 | 77 | 85 | 77 | 68 | 81 | 75 | 87 | 74 | 70 | 85 |
| Inventory Days | 131 | 142 | 161 | 151 | 160 | 177 | 249 | 235 | 191 | 159 | 198 | 195 |
| Days Payable | 144 | 119 | 127 | 148 | 118 | 105 | 167 | 141 | 132 | 112 | 130 | 144 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 28 | 98 | 111 | 88 | 119 | 140 | 163 | 169 | 147 | 121 | 138 | 136 |
| Working Capital Days | 40 | 11 | -8 | 6 | 15 | -15 | -49 | -24 | -39 | -46 | -27 | -12 |
| ROCE % | 21% | 17% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 13% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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64 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY05–FY27.
Documents
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Company Information
Bharat Forge is engaged in the manufacturing and selling of forged and machined components for the auto and industrial sectors.[1]
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