Lupin
Lupin
Healthcare F&OKey Fundamentals
MidcapPharmaceuticalsHealthcareTapetide Score
Data-driven rating, 0–100. How it works →
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Company has delivered good profit growth of 37.0% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 17.1%
- Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 46.4 days to 28.0 days
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Lupin Ltd, with a market cap of ₹94,560 Cr, is in a strong growth phase — FY25 revenue rose 13.5% to ₹22,708 Cr and net profit surged 70.8% YoY to ₹3,306 Cr, with EBITDA margins expanding to 24.7%. The stock trades at a PE of 17.1x with a 29% trailing ROE, reflecting robust profitability improvement, though rising borrowings (₹5,077 Cr in FY25 vs ₹2,670 Cr in FY24) and persistent US generic pricing erosion present risks.
- Exceptional profit growth: compounded profit CAGR of 37% over 5 years and 61% TTM growth, with FY25 net profit up 70.8% YoY to ₹3,306 Cr
- Revenue momentum accelerating: TTM sales growth of 28% and 3-year compounded sales CAGR of 19%, with FY25 revenue at ₹22,708 Cr
- ROE has improved sharply from 10% (10-year average) to 29% in the last year, indicating significantly better capital efficiency
- Strong US FDA pipeline with recent approvals including Liraglutide injection, Risperidone LAI with 180-day CGT exclusivity, Sacubitril/Valsartan tablets, and Pegfilgrastim biosimilar — targeting high-value complex generics and biosimilars
- Working capital efficiency improved meaningfully from 46.4 days to 28.0 days, freeing up cash for operations and investment
- Gross margins healthy at 68-69% range (Q1 FY25: 68.4%, Q3 FY25: 69.4%), supporting operating leverage as the business scales
- Reasonable valuation at PE of 17.1x relative to 37% 5-year profit CAGR and 29% ROE, suggesting earnings growth is not fully priced in
- Consistent dividend payout of 17.1% with FY25 dividend of 600% (₹12 per share), demonstrating cash generation confidence
- Borrowings nearly doubled from ₹2,670 Cr in FY24 to ₹5,077 Cr in FY25, raising leverage concerns despite profit growth
- US generic pricing erosion projected at 7-12% in FY27 due to competition in key products like Tolvaptan and Mirabegron, threatening the largest revenue geography
- 10-year stock CAGR of only 3% despite recent recovery, indicating prolonged periods of underperformance and value destruction for long-term holders
- 10-year compounded profit CAGR of just 10% suggests the recent surge may be a cyclical recovery from a low base rather than a structural shift
- Proposed US tariffs of 100-200% on generic drugs could pressure margins or disrupt supply chains if implemented, as flagged by Lupin's own CFO
- Dividend yield of only 0.87% offers limited income cushion in a downturn despite the 17.1% payout ratio
- Heavy dependence on US market exposes the company to regulatory risks — any FDA warning letter or import alert could materially impact revenue
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Key compliance executive passes away Aug 18
Dr. Sofia Mumtaz, President of Legal & Compliance for Canada, ANZ & NEA Business, passed away on August 17, 2026. Loss of senior leadership in a regulatory-critical role could create short-term operational gaps.
- US FDA approves generic Pitolisant Aug 17
Lupin secured US FDA approval for generic Pitolisant Tablets (4.45 mg and 17.8 mg), bioequivalent to Wakix. Strengthens the company's CNS portfolio in the US market.
- US FDA approves Modafinil Tablets Sep 7
Lupin received US FDA approval for Modafinil Tablets, a wakefulness-promoting agent for narcolepsy. Back-to-back FDA approvals expand Lupin's US generics pipeline.
- Strong Crisil ESG rating for FY26 Aug 28
Lupin received a Crisil ESG rating of 69 (Core ESG: 65) for FY26, placing it in the 'Strong' category. Independent assessment based on publicly available data.
- European deal for presbyopia drug Aug 20
Lupin signed an exclusive deal with Visus Therapeutics to commercialize Yuvezi across EU, UK, Switzerland, Norway, and Iceland. Deal includes a €20M strategic investment and up to €55M in milestones, totaling €75M in potential payments.
- Kotak and JPM investor meets Sep 8
Lupin will attend the Kotak Healthcare Conference on September 17 and J.P. Morgan India Conference on September 21, 2026. Both are in-person group meetings with no new material disclosures expected.
- Adequate ESG rating of 60 Aug 24
ESG Risk Assessments & Insights assigned Lupin an independent ESG rating of 60, placing it in the 'Adequate' category. A notably lower score than the Crisil ESG rating of 69 received days later.
TL;DR: Lupin is on a strong US generics trajectory with two FDA approvals (Modafinil, Pitolisant) in quick succession, bolstering its CNS portfolio. The €75M European licensing deal for Yuvezi adds a new geographic and therapeutic growth lever. The only notable headwind is the loss of a senior compliance executive, which bears watching for any regulatory continuity risk. Overall trend is positive, with pipeline momentum and ESG credibility improving heading into late 2026.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 4,814 | 5,039 | 5,197 | 4,961 | 5,600 | 5,673 | 5,768 | 5,667 | 6,268 | 7,048 | 7,168 | 7,475 | 8,277 |
| Expenses | 3,958 | 4,121 | 4,159 | 3,964 | 4,359 | 4,332 | 4,412 | 4,346 | 4,541 | 4,706 | 4,906 | 4,989 | 5,827 |
| Operating Profit | 856 | 918 | 1,038 | 997 | 1,241 | 1,340 | 1,356 | 1,321 | 1,727 | 2,341 | 2,262 | 2,486 | 2,450 |
| OPM % | 18% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 22% | 24% | 24% | 23% | 28% | 33% | 32% | 33% | 30% |
| Other Income | 23 | 40 | 29 | 29 | 68 | 42 | 54 | 57 | 79 | 90 | -312 | 9 | 130 |
| Interest | 86 | 81 | 74 | 71 | 68 | 71 | 67 | 89 | 92 | 108 | 115 | 120 | 110 |
| Depreciation | 235 | 248 | 257 | 457 | 248 | 257 | 271 | 393 | 299 | 317 | 313 | 447 | 453 |
| PBT | 559 | 630 | 736 | 498 | 993 | 1,055 | 1,071 | 896 | 1,416 | 2,007 | 1,522 | 1,928 | 2,017 |
| Tax % | 19% | 21% | 16% | 26% | 19% | 19% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 26% | 22% | 24% | 30% |
| Net Profit | 453 | 495 | 619 | 368 | 806 | 859 | 859 | 782 | 1,221 | 1,485 | 1,181 | 1,469 | 1,417 |
| EPS in Rs | 9.94 | 10.76 | 13.47 | 7.89 | 17.58 | 18.69 | 18.74 | 16.92 | 26.69 | 32.36 | 25.73 | 31.94 | 30.95 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 12,770 | 14,256 | 17,367 | 15,797 | 14,665 | 15,375 | 15,163 | 16,405 | 16,642 | 20,011 | 22,708 | 27,958 | 29,967 |
| Expenses | 9,146 | 10,564 | 12,865 | 12,649 | 12,104 | 13,020 | 12,596 | 16,187 | 14,921 | 16,211 | 17,430 | 19,798 | 20,428 |
| Operating Profit | 3,624 | 3,691 | 4,502 | 3,148 | 2,561 | 2,355 | 2,567 | 219 | 1,721 | 3,800 | 5,278 | 8,160 | 9,538 |
| OPM % | 28% | 26% | 26% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 1.3% | 10% | 19% | 23% | 29% | 32% |
| Other Income | 235 | 184 | 106 | -1,310 | 91 | -134 | 138 | 210 | 151 | 131 | 202 | 523 | -82 |
| Interest | 10 | 59 | 153 | 204 | 302 | 363 | 141 | 143 | 274 | 312 | 295 | 434 | 452 |
| Depreciation | 435 | 487 | 912 | 1,086 | 846 | 970 | 887 | 1,659 | 881 | 1,197 | 1,169 | 1,376 | 1,529 |
| PBT | 3,415 | 3,329 | 3,543 | 547 | 1,503 | 887 | 1,676 | -1,372 | 716 | 2,422 | 4,015 | 6,873 | 7,474 |
| Tax % | 28% | 32% | 28% | 53% | 59% | 130% | 27% | 10% | 38% | 20% | 18% | 22% | — |
| Net Profit | 2,444 | 2,270 | 2,565 | 258 | 615 | -270 | 1,228 | -1,528 | 448 | 1,936 | 3,306 | 5,355 | 5,551 |
| EPS in Rs | 53.47 | 50.17 | 56.63 | 5.56 | 13.4 | -5.95 | 26.81 | -33.62 | 9.45 | 42.01 | 71.88 | 117 | 121 |
| Div. Payout % | 14% | 15% | 13% | 90% | 37% | -101% | 24% | -12% | 42% | 19% | 17% | 15% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 90 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 |
| Reserves | 8,784 | 11,073 | 13,407 | 13,487 | 13,652 | 12,446 | 13,712 | 12,062 | 12,374 | 14,199 | 17,112 | 22,357 |
| Borrowings | 537 | 7,178 | 7,966 | 7,143 | 8,496 | 6,305 | 4,783 | 4,158 | 4,542 | 2,922 | 5,448 | 6,616 |
| Other Liabilities | 3,642 | 3,957 | 4,749 | 5,300 | 5,423 | 5,968 | 4,844 | 5,340 | 5,794 | 6,539 | 6,327 | 9,082 |
| Total Liabilities | 13,054 | 22,298 | 26,212 | 26,020 | 27,661 | 24,810 | 23,430 | 21,651 | 22,800 | 23,751 | 28,978 | 38,146 |
| Fixed Assets | 4,368 | 8,717 | 11,033 | 10,362 | 11,087 | 7,938 | 7,881 | 7,382 | 8,355 | 8,878 | 9,719 | 10,994 |
| CWIP | 576 | 2,702 | 2,133 | 2,598 | 1,640 | 940 | 1,066 | 1,146 | 1,238 | 773 | 517 | 1,016 |
| Investments | 1,658 | 16 | 2,136 | 262 | 2,295 | 2,374 | 2,455 | 900 | 517 | 1,075 | 1,146 | 3,670 |
| Other Assets | 6,451 | 10,862 | 10,910 | 12,798 | 12,639 | 13,557 | 12,028 | 12,224 | 12,690 | 13,026 | 17,596 | 22,466 |
| Total Assets | 13,054 | 22,298 | 26,212 | 26,020 | 27,661 | 24,810 | 23,430 | 21,651 | 22,800 | 23,751 | 28,978 | 38,146 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 2,733 | -382 | 4,114 | 1,751 | 1,666 | 1,469 | 1,822 | 367 | 1,897 | 3,648 | 3,000 | 7,334 |
| Investing | -1,034 | -6,769 | -2,527 | 470 | -3,282 | 1,107 | -1,240 | 1,292 | -1,287 | -1,712 | -4,172 | -3,865 |
| Financing | -197 | 5,836 | 433 | -1,492 | 744 | -891 | -1,885 | -1,572 | -337 | -2,184 | 1,732 | -846 |
| Net Cash Flow | 1,502 | -1,315 | 2,019 | 729 | -872 | 1,685 | -1,303 | 87 | 273 | -248 | 560 | 2,624 |
| Free Cash Flow | 1,865 | -6,164 | 1,513 | 261 | 706 | 798 | 1,150 | -531 | 436 | 2,732 | 1,347 | 5,527 |
| CFO/OP | 101 | 21 | 117 | 73 | 102 | 84 | 99 | 146 | 124 | 105 | 74 | 105 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 76 | 116 | 91 | 120 | 128 | 129 | 108 | 95 | 98 | 86 | 88 | 86 |
| Inventory Days | 220 | 276 | 266 | 253 | 283 | 232 | 279 | 261 | 242 | 272 | 292 | 303 |
| Days Payable | 172 | 168 | 189 | 178 | 184 | 162 | 137 | 129 | 136 | 163 | 158 | 208 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 124 | 225 | 167 | 195 | 227 | 199 | 249 | 227 | 204 | 195 | 223 | 181 |
| Working Capital Days | 56 | 102 | 63 | 126 | 115 | 33 | 34 | 45 | 32 | 53 | 58 | 28 |
| ROCE % | 40% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | -7% | 6% | 16% | 21% | 30% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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70 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY00–FY27.
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Company Information
Lupin is an innovation-led transnational pharmaceutical company headquartered in Mumbai. Lupin develops and commercializes a wide range of branded and generic formulations, biotechnology products, and APIs in over 100 markets in the U.S., India, South Africa, and across the Asia Pacific (APAC), Latin America (LATAM), Europe, and Middle East regions.
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