HFCL
HFCL
TelecomKey Fundamentals
SmallcapTelecom InfrastructureTelecomTapetide Score
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Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company is expected to give good quarter
Weaknesses
6- Stock is trading at 7.31 times its book value
- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 2.27% over past five years.
- Company has a low return on equity of 6.82% over last 3 years.
- Dividend payout has been low at 8.89% of profits over last 3 years
- Company has high debtors of 163 days.
- Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -11.0%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
HFCL Ltd trades at a market cap of ₹35,020 Cr with a PE of 59.1x and PB of 7.31x. The company has shown a sharp TTM sales growth of 59% and TTM profit growth of 1,591%, but its longer-term 5-year sales CAGR stands at just 2% and 3-year ROE averages only 7%, indicating that the recent surge follows a prolonged period of muted performance.
- TTM revenue growth of 59% signals a significant acceleration in top-line momentum after years of stagnation
- TTM profit growth of 1,591% reflects a dramatic earnings turnaround, suggesting operating leverage is kicking in
- Stock CAGR of 232% over 1 year indicates strong market recognition of the company's improved outlook in the telecom/fibre optic space
- 10-year stock CAGR of 30% demonstrates meaningful long-term wealth creation for patient shareholders
- Company is expected to deliver a good upcoming quarter, pointing to near-term earnings visibility
- 5-year compounded profit growth of 5% and 10-year ROE of 10% show the business has been consistently profitable over longer cycles
- Dividend yield of 0.09% confirms the company retains most earnings for reinvestment, which can support growth if deployed efficiently
- PE ratio of 59.1x is significantly elevated, pricing in substantial future growth and leaving little margin of safety
- 5-year compounded sales growth of just 2% raises questions about whether the recent 59% TTM spike is sustainable or one-off
- 3-year ROE of only 7% indicates subpar capital efficiency relative to the premium valuation the market assigns
- Stock trades at 7.31x book value, which is expensive for a company with single-digit ROE and historically low growth
- High debtor days of 163 suggest significant working capital strain and potential collection risk from customers
- Promoter holding has declined by 11% over the last 3 years, which may signal reduced insider confidence
- Dividend payout of just 8.89% of profits over 3 years offers negligible income return to shareholders at a 0.09% yield
- 3-year compounded sales and profit growth of only 1% each shows the recent surge is a very recent phenomenon lacking a multi-year track record
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- 13% drop before Sep 7 bounce Sep 7
HFCL shares lost 13% over four trading sessions before the Sep 7 recovery, and fell nearly 4% on Sep 1 despite the major OFC deal announcement.
- Elevated valuation multiples Sep 7
Stock trades at a P/E of 61.87, P/B of 7.16, and P/S of 2.1, leaving limited margin of safety after a 252% surge in 2026.
- FY26 order book doubles to ₹21,206cr Sep 7
HFCL's FY26 order book surged 113% YoY to ₹21,206 crore, while Q1FY27 order book reached a record ₹26,665 crore, providing strong revenue visibility.
- ₹2,329cr global OFC export deal Sep 1
HFCL signed a 3-year agreement worth $244 million (₹2,329 crore) to supply high-fibre-count optical fibre cables to a global MNC through December 2029.
- FY26 PAT jumps 90% to ₹329cr Sep 7
FY26 revenue rose 21.77% to ₹4,949 crore, EBITDA surged 63.15% to ₹827 crore, and PAT jumped 90.14% to ₹329 crore with EPS up 73% to ₹2.13.
- Record Q1FY27 revenue up 120% Sep 1
Q1FY27 consolidated revenue surged 120% YoY to a record ₹1,915 crore with net profit of ₹246 crore vs a loss of ₹29 crore a year ago. EBITDA margin expanded to 21.6% from 3.3%.
- FY27 revenue guidance doubled to 40% Sep 1
HFCL raised its FY27 revenue growth aspiration to 40%, doubling from the earlier 20% guidance, following strong Q1 performance.
- ₹215cr AI data centre facility Sep 1
HFCL approved a ₹215 crore investment to build an advanced AI data centre connectivity solutions manufacturing facility, expanding into high-growth segments.
- Stock up 252% in 2026 Sep 7
HFCL shares have surged 252% YTD in 2026 vs a 9% decline in Nifty 50, with market cap reaching approximately ₹36,581 crore.
- Analyst/investor meets in September Sep 11
HFCL scheduled analyst and investor meetings on Sep 18 and participation in events hosted by Jefferies, Nomura, and Arihant Capital in September 2026.
- AGM set for September 29 Sep 3
HFCL's 39th AGM is scheduled for September 29, 2026 via video conferencing, with e-voting facilitated by NSDL.
- Huawei/ZTE replacement evaluation Aug 31
India is evaluating replacing legacy Huawei and ZTE telecom equipment across networks. HFCL cited as a domestic telecom infrastructure player that could benefit.
- BRSR report filed with SEBI Sep 5
HFCL submitted its FY26 Business Responsibility and Sustainability Report covering environmental metrics, governance, and CSR initiatives.
- Motilal Oswal conference participation Aug 15
HFCL participated in the Motilal Oswal 22nd Annual Global Investor Conference on August 18 in Mumbai to discuss business updates.
TL;DR: HFCL is firing on all cylinders — FY26 order book more than doubled to ₹21,206 crore, PAT jumped 90%, and the company secured a landmark $244 million export OFC deal extending through 2029. The expansion into AI data centre connectivity and potential Huawei/ZTE replacement tailwinds add further runway. Key risks are the stretched valuation at 62x P/E after a 252% YTD rally and recent sharp intraday sell-offs suggesting profit-booking sensitivity. The trend remains strongly positive with FY27 guidance doubled to 40% revenue growth, but the stock price already reflects significant optimism.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 995 | 1,111 | 1,032 | 1,326 | 1,158 | 1,094 | 1,012 | 801 | 871 | 1,043 | 1,211 | 1,824 | 1,915 |
| Expenses | 849 | 979 | 916 | 1,130 | 984 | 935 | 860 | 838 | 843 | 853 | 983 | 1,510 | 1,501 |
| Operating Profit | 146 | 133 | 117 | 196 | 175 | 158 | 152 | -37 | 28 | 190 | 228 | 314 | 414 |
| OPM % | 15% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 15% | -4.6% | 3.3% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 22% |
| Other Income | 13 | 18 | 47 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 22 | 31 |
| Interest | 36 | 35 | 37 | 40 | 42 | 45 | 47 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 63 | 63 | 62 |
| Depreciation | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 30 | 32 | 36 | 44 | 45 | 51 |
| PBT | 103 | 94 | 108 | 149 | 119 | 102 | 100 | -105 | -45 | 106 | 138 | 228 | 332 |
| Tax % | 26% | 25% | 24% | 27% | 7% | 28% | 28% | -21% | -34% | 32% | 26% | 19% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 76 | 70 | 82 | 109 | 111 | 73 | 73 | -83 | -29 | 72 | 102 | 184 | 246 |
| EPS in Rs | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.58 | 0.76 | 0.77 | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.56 | -0.22 | 0.47 | 0.64 | 1.17 | 1.49 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,553 | 2,872 | 2,131 | 3,227 | 4,738 | 3,839 | 4,423 | 4,727 | 4,743 | 4,465 | 4,065 | 4,949 | 5,993 |
| Expenses | 2,272 | 2,600 | 1,944 | 2,944 | 4,320 | 3,346 | 3,873 | 4,077 | 4,125 | 3,884 | 3,615 | 4,186 | 4,847 |
| Operating Profit | 281 | 273 | 187 | 283 | 418 | 493 | 550 | 650 | 619 | 582 | 449 | 764 | 1,146 |
| OPM % | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 15% | 19% |
| Other Income | 110 | -29 | 21 | 24 | 40 | 22 | 31 | 37 | 47 | 102 | 58 | 63 | 83 |
| Interest | 44 | 62 | 62 | 64 | 92 | 115 | 175 | 166 | 152 | 147 | 185 | 242 | 249 |
| Depreciation | 34 | 26 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 42 | 69 | 78 | 83 | 82 | 106 | 157 | 176 |
| PBT | 312 | 156 | 124 | 220 | 339 | 358 | 337 | 442 | 431 | 454 | 217 | 428 | 804 |
| Tax % | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 32% | 34% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 20% | 23% | — |
| Net Profit | 324 | 156 | 124 | 172 | 232 | 237 | 246 | 326 | 318 | 338 | 173 | 329 | 604 |
| EPS in Rs | 2.61 | 1.26 | 0.99 | 1.35 | 1.73 | 1.77 | 1.86 | 2.27 | 2.18 | 2.29 | 1.23 | 2.04 | 3.77 |
| Div. Payout % | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 124 | 124 | 124 | 124 | 127 | 128 | 128 | 137 | 138 | 144 | 144 | 153 |
| Reserves | 753 | 716 | 840 | 1,055 | 1,314 | 1,540 | 1,788 | 2,661 | 2,970 | 3,812 | 3,935 | 4,738 |
| Borrowings | 398 | 544 | 539 | 469 | 590 | 734 | 942 | 783 | 936 | 991 | 1,522 | 1,896 |
| Other Liabilities | 572 | 791 | 773 | 941 | 1,262 | 1,427 | 2,358 | 1,590 | 1,429 | 1,540 | 1,945 | 2,080 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,847 | 2,175 | 2,275 | 2,588 | 3,294 | 3,829 | 5,216 | 5,171 | 5,473 | 6,487 | 7,546 | 8,868 |
| Fixed Assets | 199 | 175 | 188 | 196 | 238 | 504 | 508 | 528 | 548 | 652 | 852 | 1,216 |
| CWIP | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 86 | 34 | 36 | 108 | 268 | 469 | 602 | 486 |
| Investments | 272 | 57 | 50 | 55 | 60 | 58 | 41 | 55 | 70 | 194 | 158 | 135 |
| Other Assets | 1,373 | 1,943 | 2,035 | 2,327 | 2,911 | 3,233 | 4,631 | 4,480 | 4,586 | 5,172 | 5,935 | 7,031 |
| Total Assets | 1,847 | 2,175 | 2,275 | 2,588 | 3,294 | 3,829 | 5,216 | 5,171 | 5,473 | 6,487 | 7,546 | 8,868 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 129 | 0 | 136 | 207 | 34 | 172 | 145 | 205 | 235 | -45 | 396 | -378 |
| Investing | -45 | 37 | -25 | -30 | -150 | -167 | -165 | -458 | -44 | -449 | -518 | -324 |
| Financing | -74 | -55 | -114 | -116 | 67 | -7 | 25 | 248 | -145 | 454 | 170 | 669 |
| Net Cash Flow | 10 | -18 | -3 | 61 | -49 | -1 | 5 | -5 | 46 | -40 | 47 | -33 |
| Free Cash Flow | 111 | -51 | 110 | 166 | -143 | 5 | 41 | 23 | -105 | -454 | -12 | -723 |
| CFO/OP | 54 | 12 | 103 | 102 | 15 | 53 | 30 | 41 | 54 | 13 | 89 | -44 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 52 | 141 | 202 | 134 | 113 | 153 | 215 | 146 | 145 | 181 | 170 | 163 |
| Inventory Days | 259 | 192 | 140 | 56 | 41 | 96 | 65 | 98 | 113 | 135 | 145 | 191 |
| Days Payable | 320 | 307 | 260 | 148 | 134 | 227 | 262 | 173 | 131 | 141 | 174 | 136 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -9 | 26 | 81 | 42 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 72 | 127 | 175 | 141 | 218 |
| Working Capital Days | 75 | 112 | 134 | 84 | 62 | 91 | 70 | 85 | 124 | 163 | 179 | 208 |
| ROCE % | 36% | 24% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 11% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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64 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY10–FY27.
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Company Information
HFCL Ltd (Himachal Futuristic Communications Limited) is a diverse telecom infrastructure enabler with active interest spanning telecom infrastructure development, system integration, and manufacture and supply of high end telecom equipment, Optical Fiber and Optic Fiber Cable (OFC).[1]
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