Happy Forgings
- P/E
- 53.29
Key Fundamentals
SmallcapIndustrial ProductsCapital GoodsPrice-based figures as of · EPS basis: Consolidated · TTM
- ROCE
- 18.00%
- Debt to Equity
- 0.16
- EPS (TTM)
- ₹34.71
- Book Value
- ₹225.44
- Market Cap
- —
- P/E (TTM)
- 53.29
- P/B
- 8.20
- ROE
- 15.00%
- Dividend Yield
- 0.23%
- EBITDA
- ₹502 Cr
- 52W High
- ₹2,470.00
- 52W Low
- ₹976.00
- Day Range
- ₹1,732.30 – ₹1,874.80
- Volume
- 2,48,770
Peer Comparison
Industrials › Industrial Products › Castings & Forgings
| ₹24,410.00 | 291.36 | ₹38,271 Cr | 11.70 | 0.00% | 7.16% | 8.59% | ₹697 Cr | ₹125 Cr | |
| ₹3,219.80 | 23.73 | ₹30,370 Cr | 3.56 | 0.47% | 17.00% | 21.10% | ₹4,549 Cr | ₹1,264 Cr | |
| ₹1,849.70 | 53.29 | ₹16,973 Cr | 8.20 | 0.23% | 15.00% | 18.00% | ₹1,642 Cr | ₹327 Cr | |
| ₹504.05 | 22.16 | ₹6,053 Cr | 3.84 | 0.03% | 19.60% | 22.70% | ₹1,175 Cr | ₹268 Cr | |
| ₹364.50 | 40.73 | ₹3,696 Cr | 9.34 | 0.12% | 24.00% | 32.30% | ₹441 Cr | ₹91 Cr | |
| ₹2,055.25 | 31.77 | ₹2,342 Cr | 8.95 | 0.00% | 18.10% | 25.20% | ₹104 Cr | ₹26 Cr | |
| Median 6 companies | ₹1,952.48 | 36.25 | ₹11,513 Cr | 8.58 | 0.08% | 17.55% | 21.90% | ₹936 Cr | ₹197 Cr |
Comparable companies in the same industry. Market cap, P/E and P/B use the latest price; other metrics are as reported in filings. A dash means the figure is not published for that company. 1 company is not shown because they are not listed on an exchange we cover.
Tapetide Score
Data-driven rating, 0–100, as of . How it works →
Overall score
Data confidence 100/100
Category scores
- Quality
- 67
- Strong
- Returns, margins, earnings quality 22% weight
- Valuation
- 35
- Poor
- Cheap vs sector & own history 24% weight
- Growth
- 48
- Average
- Sales & profit trajectory 9% weight
- Financial Health
- 78
- Strong
- Solvency, leverage, coverage 9% weight
- Momentum
- 65
- Good
- Trend strength, vol-adjusted 12% weight
- Ownership
- 48
- Average
- FII/DII/promoter flows 24% weight
The Tapetide Score is data analysis, not investment advice. Tapetide is not a SEBI-registered research analyst or investment adviser.
Key Insights
No strengths listed
Weaknesses
2- Stock is trading at 8.72 times its book value
- Dividend payout has been low at 12.9% of profits over last 3 years
Technical Indicators
| Group | Signal | Bearish | Neutral | Bullish |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | Bullish | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| Oscillators | Neutral | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Moving Averages | Strong Bullish | 4 | 0 | 6 |
Oscillators
Neutral
Overall
Bullish
Moving Averages
Strong Bullish
Key readings
- RSI (14)
- 45.99
- Neutral
- MACD (12,26,9)
- −66.31
- Bullish
- SMA (50)
- 2,039.32
- Bearish
- SMA (200)
- 1,565.56
- Bullish
As of
Analyst Rating
5 of 6 analysts rate Buy, 0 Hold, 1 Sell.
As of
Growth Rate
From the financial statements below. 5Y, 3Y: compound annual growth to Mar 2026; 1Y: fiscal year to Mar 2026 against Mar 2025; TTM: four quarters to Jun 2026 against Jun 2025.
Revenue
| 5Y | +21.45% |
|---|---|
| 3Y | +8.90% |
| 1Y | +9.72% |
| TTM | +15.48% |
Net profit
| 5Y | +28.56% |
|---|---|
| 3Y | +13.05% |
| 1Y | +13.11% |
| TTM | +21.11% |
Operating cash flow
| 5Y | +49.29% |
|---|---|
| 3Y | +28.65% |
| 1Y | +52.40% |
| TTM | — |
TTM: Reported once a year, so there is no trailing-twelve-month figure.
Operating margin· change in pp
| 5Y | +3.29 pp |
|---|---|
| 3Y | +1.98 pp |
| 1Y | +1.58 pp |
| TTM | +2.30 pp |
Revenue by year
| Mar 2021 | ₹585 Cr |
|---|---|
| Mar 2022 | ₹860 Cr |
| Mar 2023 | ₹1,197 Cr |
| Mar 2024 | ₹1,358 Cr |
| Mar 2025 | ₹1,409 Cr |
| Mar 2026 | ₹1,546 Cr |
Net profit by year
| Mar 2021 | ₹86.00 Cr |
|---|---|
| Mar 2022 | ₹142 Cr |
| Mar 2023 | ₹209 Cr |
| Mar 2024 | ₹243 Cr |
| Mar 2025 | ₹267 Cr |
| Mar 2026 | ₹302 Cr |
Analyst Forecasts
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Happy Forgings Ltd trades at ₹1,849.7 with a market cap of ₹16,973 crore as of 2026-11-04, commanding a PE of 53.29x and a price-to-book of 8.2x. The company has delivered 28% compounded profit growth over five years on a near debt-free balance sheet (debt-to-equity 0.16), though recent three-year sales growth has moderated to 9% and dividend payout remains low at 12.9% of profits.
- Strong five-year compounded profit growth of 28%, indicating sustained earnings expansion over a meaningful period
- Very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, giving the company significant financial flexibility and resilience against cyclical downturns
- Healthy ROCE of 18.95% suggests efficient deployment of capital in a capital-intensive forging business
- TTM profit growth of 22% shows continued momentum in earnings beyond the longer-term trend
- Five-year compounded sales growth of 21% demonstrates an ability to scale revenue meaningfully over a longer horizon
- TTM sales growth of 16% indicates the top line continues to expand at a double-digit pace
- Stock has delivered a 1-year CAGR of 107%, reflecting strong market recognition and re-rating from the ₹976 52-week low
- Five-year average ROE of 18% points to a consistent ability to generate above-average returns for shareholders in the industrial products space
- Price-to-book of 8.2x is elevated, meaning investors are paying a large premium over the company's net asset value
- Three-year compounded sales growth has decelerated to 9% versus the five-year figure of 21%, signalling a potential slowdown in top-line momentum
- Dividend payout has averaged only 12.9% of profits over the last three years, with a current yield of just 0.23%, offering minimal income return
- Last-year ROE of 15% has declined from the five-year average of 18%, suggesting returns on equity are trending lower
- Stock is 25.1% below its 52-week high of ₹2,470, indicating the recent rally has already seen a meaningful correction
- Three-year compounded profit growth of 13% lags the five-year figure of 28%, suggesting the high-growth phase may be normalising
- The 107% one-year stock CAGR has front-loaded significant gains, raising the risk of mean reversion if quarterly results disappoint relative to the demanding valuation
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
TL;DR: Happy Forgings is executing well: Q1FY27 revenue grew 27%, EBITDA margin reached 31.3%, and a ₹9.5bn order book that is 70% PV/industrial and 60% export-linked gives multi-year visibility. The main risks are rising steel and input costs, flat FY27 margin guidance of 30.4%, slower volume growth, and high expectations after an 87% rally to ₹2,470. The trend is improving, with the mix shift, operating leverage and the FY28 captive solar plant supporting Motilal Oswal's 33% FY29 margin target. Over the next few quarters, watch steel cost pass-through in Q2FY27 and new order wins, since further capex depends on them.
- Rising steel and input costs Sep 16
Raw material costs were a headwind in Q1FY27. Motilal Oswal flags possible near-term margin pressure from rising input costs, with steel cost pass-through only expected from Q2FY27.
- Flat FY27 margin guidance Sep 16
Management expects FY27 EBITDA margin to stay at the FY26 level of 30.4%, below Q1FY27's 31.3%. That implies margins may soften over the rest of the year.
- Volume growth set to slow Sep 16
FY27 volume growth guidance is high-teens, down from the 23% YoY growth delivered in Q1FY27.
- ₹9.5bn order book drives growth Sep 16
The ₹9.5 billion order book is expected to drive most topline growth over FY27-29. PVs and industrials make up 70% of it and about 60% is export-linked, and the orders carry higher realizations and better margins.
- Strong Q1FY27 results Sep 16
Q1FY27 volumes grew 23% YoY and revenue rose 27%. EBITDA margin expanded 280 bps YoY to 31.3%, helped by price hikes and a better product mix.
- Stock hits 52-week high Sep 16
Shares hit a new 52-week high of ₹2,470 on September 1, an 87% gain in calendar year 2026, on confidence in the order book and growth outlook.
- ₹650cr heavy forgings capex Sep 16
Of the planned ₹650 crore capex for heavy forgings, ₹250 crore is already deployed and another ₹150 crore is planned in FY28. Further spending depends on new order wins and customer requirements.
- Expansion into data centre power Sep 16
Capacity additions will target PVs, industrial applications, heavy engines and data centre power infrastructure. These diversify the business but will take time to scale.
Quarterly Results
₹ Cr| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 330 | 343 | 342 | 343 | 341 | 361 | 354 | 352 | 354 | 377 | 391 | 424 | 449 |
| Expenses | 230 | 249 | 247 | 246 | 244 | 256 | 253 | 250 | 253 | 262 | 271 | 291 | 309 |
| Operating Profit | 100 | 94 | 95 | 97 | 98 | 105 | 101 | 102 | 101 | 116 | 120 | 133 | 141 |
| OPM % | 30% | 27% | 28% | 28% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 31% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Other Income | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| Interest | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Depreciation | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 26 |
| PBT | 85 | 74 | 78 | 87 | 86 | 97 | 87 | 90 | 89 | 99 | 104 | 111 | 123 |
| Tax % | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 64 | 55 | 58 | 66 | 64 | 71 | 65 | 68 | 66 | 73 | 79 | 84 | 91 |
| EPS (₹) | 7.16 | 6.17 | 6.15 | 6.98 | 6.77 | 7.58 | 6.85 | 7.18 | 6.97 | 7.79 | 8.37 | 8.86 | 9.69 |
Profit & Loss
₹ Cr| Particulars | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 585 | 860 | 1,197 | 1,358 | 1,409 | 1,546 | 1,642 |
| Expenses | 426 | 629 | 856 | 971 | 1,002 | 1,076 | 1,132 |
| Operating Profit | 159 | 231 | 341 | 388 | 407 | 471 | 510 |
| OPM % | 27% | 27% | 28% | 29% | 29% | 30% | 31% |
| Other Income | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 31 | 32 |
| Interest | 12 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| Depreciation | 36 | 38 | 54 | 65 | 77 | 89 | 95 |
| PBT | 117 | 192 | 280 | 324 | 360 | 402 | 436 |
| Tax % | 26% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | — |
| Net Profit | 86 | 142 | 209 | 243 | 267 | 302 | 327 |
| EPS (₹) | Not comparable with later periods: it is stated on a share count about a hundred times or more different, so it is left blank. | 15.9 | 23.32 | 25.79 | 28.38 | 31.97 | 34.71 |
| Div. Payout % | 0% | 0% | 6% | 16% | 11% | 13% | — |
Balance Sheet
₹ Cr| Particulars | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 9 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| Reserves | 636 | 770 | 970 | 1,594 | 1,831 | 2,109 |
| Borrowings | 153 | 240 | 219 | 143 | 228 | 330 |
| Other Liabilities | 76 | 102 | 119 | 130 | 138 | 175 |
| Total Liabilities | 874 | 1,130 | 1,326 | 1,886 | 2,215 | 2,633 |
| Fixed Assets | 415 | 456 | 678 | 744 | 908 | 1,108 |
| CWIP | 40 | 212 | 75 | 127 | 123 | 237 |
| Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 237 |
| Other Assets | 419 | 461 | 573 | 1,016 | 1,105 | 1,050 |
| Total Assets | 874 | 1,130 | 1,326 | 1,886 | 2,215 | 2,633 |
Cash Flow
₹ Cr| Particulars | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 60 | 80 | 209 | 189 | 292 | 445 |
| Investing | −59 | −166 | −172 | −470 | −320 | −497 |
| Financing | 0 | 83 | −37 | 281 | 40 | 65 |
| Net Cash Flow | 1 | −3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 |
| Free Cash Flow | −32 | −111 | 35 | −5 | 12 | −16 |
| CFO/OP | 59 | 53 | 80 | 71 | 92 | 114 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 103 | 94 | 94 | 96 | 110 | 93 |
| Inventory Days | 176 | 173 | 112 | 137 | 143 | 134 |
| Days Payable | 55 | 42 | 32 | 34 | 28 | 34 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 225 | 226 | 175 | 199 | 226 | 193 |
| Working Capital Days | 82 | 76 | 71 | 102 | 97 | 77 |
| ROCE % | — | 22% | 26% | 23% | 19% | 18% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
Log in to view Happy Forgings insights
60 extracted metrics across FY18–FY27.
Documents
- Q1 FY27 concall · Aug 2026Transcript PPT Recording
- Q4 FY26 concall · May 2026Transcript PPT Recording
- Q3 FY26 concall · Feb 2026Transcript PPT Recording
- Q2 FY26 concall · Nov 2025Transcript PPT Recording
- Q1 FY26 concall · Aug 2025Transcript PPT
- 4 Aug 2026
- 30 Sep 2026
- 14 Sep 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 7 Jul 2026
- 17 Mar 2026
- General announcements 24 Oct 2026
- General announcements 6 Oct 2026
Frequently Asked Questions about Happy Forgings
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Company Information
Incorporated in July 1979, Happy Forgings Limited is an Indian manufacturer specializing in designing and manufacturing heavy forgings and high-precision machined components.
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