Happy Forgings
Happy Forgings
Industrial ProductsKey Fundamentals
SmallcapCastings & ForgingsIndustrial ProductsTapetide Score
Data-driven rating, 0–100. How it works →
Key Insights
Weaknesses
2- Stock is trading at 9.62 times its book value
- Dividend payout has been low at 12.9% of profits over last 3 years
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Happy Forgings Ltd operates in the Industrial Products sector with a market cap of ₹20,663 Cr and trades at a P/E of 64.5x and P/B of 9.92x. The company has delivered compounded profit growth of 28% over 5 years and 22% TTM, while ROE has moderated from an 18% 5-year average to 15% in the last year. The stock has surged 146% over the past 1 year, significantly re-rating its valuation multiples.
- Strong 5-year compounded profit growth of 28% indicates sustained earnings momentum in the forging business
- TTM sales growth of 16% and TTM profit growth of 22% show improving operating leverage with profits outpacing revenue
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 21% reflects consistent top-line expansion well above GDP growth rates
- 3-year ROE of 16% and 5-year ROE of 18% demonstrate the company has historically generated healthy returns on shareholder equity
- 146% stock price CAGR over 1 year reflects strong market recognition and institutional interest in the forging sector theme
- 3-year compounded profit growth of 13% maintained through a period that included post-COVID supply chain disruptions
- Market cap of ₹20,663 Cr provides reasonable scale and liquidity for institutional participation
- P/E of 64.5x is significantly elevated for an industrial products company, pricing in substantial future growth
- P/B of 9.92x is exceptionally high for a capital-intensive forging business, as flagged in known concerns
- ROE has declined from 18% (5-year average) to 15% (last year), indicating deteriorating capital efficiency even as valuations expanded
- Dividend payout of just 12.9% of profits over the last 3 years suggests limited direct shareholder returns
- Dividend yield of only 0.18% provides negligible income cushion in a downside scenario
- 3-year compounded sales growth of 9% is notably slower than the 5-year CAGR of 21%, suggesting a deceleration in revenue momentum
- The 146% 1-year stock price surge has far outpaced the TTM profit growth of 22%, indicating significant multiple expansion rather than earnings-driven appreciation
- Last year ROE of 15% does not adequately justify a 9.92x price-to-book multiple, implying the market is pricing in a substantial ROE improvement that may not materialize
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Analyst meet scheduled Aug 14 Aug 11
Happy Forgings will host investor meetings in Mumbai on August 14, 2026, organized by Equirus Securities. The event will cover publicly available information only.
TL;DR: Limited recent news flow for Happy Forgings with only a scheduled analyst meet on Aug 14. No specific headwinds or positive catalysts have emerged from recent coverage. The upcoming investor meeting could provide more clarity on the company's outlook and operational performance in the near term.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 330 | 343 | 342 | 343 | 341 | 361 | 354 | 352 | 354 | 377 | 391 | 424 | 449 |
| Expenses | 230 | 249 | 247 | 246 | 244 | 256 | 253 | 250 | 253 | 262 | 271 | 291 | 309 |
| Operating Profit | 100 | 94 | 95 | 97 | 98 | 105 | 101 | 102 | 101 | 116 | 120 | 133 | 141 |
| OPM % | 30% | 27% | 28% | 28% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 31% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Other Income | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| Interest | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Depreciation | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 26 |
| PBT | 85 | 74 | 78 | 87 | 86 | 97 | 87 | 90 | 89 | 99 | 104 | 111 | 123 |
| Tax % | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 64 | 55 | 58 | 66 | 64 | 71 | 65 | 68 | 66 | 73 | 79 | 84 | 91 |
| EPS in Rs | 7.16 | 6.17 | 6.15 | 6.98 | 6.77 | 7.58 | 6.85 | 7.18 | 6.97 | 7.79 | 8.37 | 8.86 | 9.69 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 585 | 860 | 1,197 | 1,358 | 1,409 | 1,546 | 1,642 |
| Expenses | 426 | 629 | 856 | 971 | 1,002 | 1,076 | 1,132 |
| Operating Profit | 159 | 231 | 341 | 388 | 407 | 471 | 510 |
| OPM % | 27% | 27% | 28% | 29% | 29% | 30% | 31% |
| Other Income | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 31 | 32 |
| Interest | 12 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| Depreciation | 36 | 38 | 54 | 65 | 77 | 89 | 95 |
| PBT | 117 | 192 | 280 | 324 | 360 | 402 | 436 |
| Tax % | 26% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | — |
| Net Profit | 86 | 142 | 209 | 243 | 267 | 302 | 327 |
| EPS in Rs | 966 | 15.9 | 23.32 | 25.79 | 28.38 | 31.97 | 34.71 |
| Div. Payout % | 0% | 0% | 6% | 16% | 11% | 13% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 9 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| Reserves | 636 | 770 | 970 | 1,594 | 1,831 | 2,109 |
| Borrowings | 153 | 240 | 219 | 143 | 228 | 330 |
| Other Liabilities | 76 | 102 | 119 | 130 | 138 | 175 |
| Total Liabilities | 874 | 1,130 | 1,326 | 1,886 | 2,215 | 2,633 |
| Fixed Assets | 415 | 456 | 678 | 744 | 908 | 1,108 |
| CWIP | 40 | 212 | 75 | 127 | 123 | 237 |
| Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 237 |
| Other Assets | 419 | 461 | 573 | 1,016 | 1,105 | 1,050 |
| Total Assets | 874 | 1,130 | 1,326 | 1,886 | 2,215 | 2,633 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 60 | 80 | 209 | 189 | 292 | 445 |
| Investing | -59 | -166 | -172 | -470 | -320 | -497 |
| Financing | 0 | 83 | -37 | 281 | 40 | 65 |
| Net Cash Flow | 1 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 |
| Free Cash Flow | -32 | -111 | 35 | -5 | 12 | -16 |
| CFO/OP | 59 | 53 | 80 | 71 | 92 | 114 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 103 | 94 | 94 | 96 | 110 | 93 |
| Inventory Days | 176 | 173 | 112 | 137 | 143 | 134 |
| Days Payable | 55 | 42 | 32 | 34 | 28 | 34 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 225 | 226 | 175 | 199 | 226 | 193 |
| Working Capital Days | 82 | 76 | 71 | 102 | 97 | 77 |
| ROCE % | — | 22% | 26% | 23% | 19% | 18% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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Documents
Frequently Asked Questions about Happy Forgings
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Company Information
Incorporated in July 1979, Happy Forgings Limited is an Indian manufacturer specializing in designing and manufacturing heavy forgings and high-precision machined components.[1]
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