Welspun Corp
Welspun Corp
IndustrialsKey Fundamentals
MidcapIron & Steel ProductsIndustrial ProductsTapetide Score
Data-driven rating, 0–100. How it works →
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has delivered good profit growth of 20.9% CAGR over last 5 years
Weaknesses
2- Stock is trading at 7.71 times its book value
- Earnings include an other income of Rs.1,078 Cr.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Welspun Corp Ltd, with a market cap of ₹71,118 Cr, has delivered exceptional stock price appreciation of 195% over the past year alongside strong profit growth of 42% TTM. However, the stock trades at a P/B of 8x and a P/E of 31.6x, while earnings quality is clouded by ₹1,078 Cr of other income included in reported profits.
- Exceptional profit growth with TTM compounded profit growth at 42%, indicating strong earnings momentum
- Strong 5-year compounded sales CAGR of 19%, reflecting sustained revenue expansion in the industrial products space
- Consistent ROE of 19% over the last year and 3-year average, well above cost of equity for most industrial companies
- 10-year compounded profit CAGR of 29%, demonstrating the company's ability to grow earnings through multiple business cycles
- Stock price CAGR of 84% over 5 years and 42% over 10 years, showing long-term value creation for shareholders
- 3-year compounded profit CAGR of 119%, suggesting a significant step-up in earnings power in recent years
- TTM sales growth of 20% indicates continued topline traction in the current period
- Stock trades at 7.52x book value, which is elevated for an industrial products company and leaves limited margin of safety
- Earnings include ₹1,078 Cr of other income, raising questions about the sustainability and quality of core operating profits
- P/E ratio of 31.6x is rich for a cyclical industrial business, pricing in significant future growth
- Dividend yield of just 0.18% offers negligible income return to shareholders relative to the stock price
- Stock has rallied 195% in the past year alone, increasing the risk of mean reversion or correction from elevated levels
- 5-year ROE of 15% and 10-year ROE of 13% are notably lower than the recent 19%, suggesting current profitability may be above the long-term trend
- The gap between 5-year profit CAGR of 21% and 3-year profit CAGR of 119% suggests recent earnings may be inflated by non-recurring or cyclical factors
- Key financial metrics such as debt-to-equity, EPS, and ROCE are unavailable, limiting visibility into leverage and capital efficiency
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Promoter stake dilution to 47.46% Aug 27
Welspun Investments sold 60 lakh shares (2.27% stake) via block deal at ₹2,275.30 apiece, reducing combined promoter holding from 49.73% to 47.46%.
- Related-party capital diversion risk Sep 3
Welspun Investments channeling up to ₹1,000 crore into pre-revenue Indivara Realty (promoter group company) via OCDs, funded by liquidation of Welspun Corp shares, raising governance and capital-diversion concerns for minority shareholders.
- Stretched valuation at 21x EV/EBITDA Aug 20
EV/EBITDA on FY27 guided EBITDA works out to ~21x and TTM PE stands at 71.78x, reflecting premium pricing that leaves limited room for execution misses.
- $1.8B order is non-recurring Aug 20
Brokerages note the record $1.8B US order is not a recurring contract; Welspun must repeat such wins for revenue visibility beyond FY29.
- Capacity fully booked limits flexibility Aug 21
All existing plants are booked through FY28, constraining the company's ability to capture new high-value opportunities until fresh capacity comes online.
- Record $1.8B single order won Aug 20
Welspun secured its largest-ever order worth ~$1.8B (₹17,200 crore) for US pipe supply from Permian Basin LNG infrastructure, executing FY28-FY29, lifting the global order book to a record ₹42,100 crore (~$4.4B).
- Jefferies initiates Buy, ₹3,250 target Aug 31
Jefferies initiated coverage with a Buy rating and ₹3,250 target (27% upside), expecting 32% EBITDA CAGR and 33% EPS CAGR over FY26-29E, with revenue nearly doubling from ₹16,770 crore to ₹33,217 crore.
- Stock delivers ~20x in five years Sep 9
Shares gained ~1,990% over five years and ~227% YTD in 2026, with the order book at ₹25,750 crore in July 2026 and the company booked through FY2028 with FY2029 visibility emerging.
- Q1FY27 profit triples, record EBITDA Aug 25
Q1FY27 net profit surged 199% YoY to ₹1,048 crore, highest-ever quarterly EBITDA hit ₹756 crore (up 35% YoY), and net cash strengthened to ₹2,336 crore.
- Strong US margin and market share Aug 21
US operations deliver EBITDA margins of ~₹25/kg vs ₹18/kg in India (39% premium), with Welspun commanding ~30% US market share and ~50% of FY26 EBITDA from the US.
- Major institutional buying at ₹1,433 Cr Aug 25
Capital Group, Aberdeen Investments and domestic funds bought 2.4% stake for ₹1,433 crore via block deals; 6 of 7 analysts maintain Buy ratings per Bloomberg.
- Saudi Arabia capacity expansion raised Sep 9
KSA DI pipe capacity being raised from 150 to 250 KMTPA, with a new 600,000 TPA facility planned as a regional manufacturing hub; EPIC contributed ~20% of FY26 PAT.
- Brokerages raise estimates 15-34% Aug 20
Nuvama raised FY27-29E EPS by 3-20% with revised target of ₹2,656; Equirus increased FY28-29E revenue and EBITDA estimates by 18-34% with ₹3,107 target.
- Jordan pipe JV MOU signed Sep 2
Welspun Corp signed an MOU with Perma-Pipe for pipe manufacturing facilities in Jordan to support the National Water Carrier Project; definitive agreements still under discussion.
- Welspun Slagexcel associate incorporated Aug 31
Welspun Corp incorporated Welspun Slagexcel Private Limited as a 26% associate company for manufacturing Ground Granulated Blast Furnace Slag (GGBS).
TL;DR: Welspun Corp is firing on all cylinders with a record ₹42,100 crore order book anchored by a landmark $1.8B US order, Q1FY27 profit tripling to ₹1,048 crore, and multiple brokerage upgrades projecting 32-33% EBITDA/EPS CAGR through FY29. Key risks include promoter stake dilution (down to 47.46%), related-party capital diversion into pre-revenue real estate via Welspun Investments, stretched valuations at ~21x EV/EBITDA, and full capacity utilization limiting near-term flexibility. The structural trend is decisively positive, driven by a 5-7 year US energy infrastructure upcycle and Saudi expansion, but execution on new capacity commissioning and sustaining order momentum beyond FY29 will be critical to justifying the premium.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 4,069 | 4,059 | 4,750 | 4,461 | 3,137 | 3,302 | 3,614 | 3,925 | 3,551 | 4,374 | 4,532 | 4,313 | 4,081 |
| Expenses | 3,712 | 3,660 | 4,287 | 4,131 | 2,763 | 2,902 | 3,179 | 3,465 | 3,026 | 3,783 | 3,917 | 3,809 | 3,389 |
| Operating Profit | 357 | 400 | 463 | 330 | 374 | 400 | 434 | 460 | 525 | 591 | 616 | 504 | 692 |
| OPM % | 9% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 17% |
| Other Income | 50 | 227 | 62 | 178 | 83 | 125 | 487 | 570 | 84 | 131 | 120 | 142 | 685 |
| Interest | 92 | 75 | 62 | 75 | 66 | 83 | 82 | 88 | 63 | 49 | 51 | 49 | 45 |
| Depreciation | 86 | 86 | 90 | 87 | 85 | 89 | 90 | 87 | 85 | 84 | 93 | 93 | 125 |
| PBT | 228 | 466 | 373 | 347 | 305 | 352 | 749 | 855 | 461 | 588 | 593 | 504 | 1,207 |
| Tax % | 26% | 17% | 21% | 17% | 19% | 20% | 10% | 18% | 24% | 25% | 23% | 26% | 13% |
| Net Profit | 168 | 387 | 294 | 287 | 248 | 283 | 672 | 699 | 349 | 444 | 456 | 371 | 1,048 |
| EPS in Rs | 6.32 | 14.7 | 11.15 | 10.24 | 9.46 | 10.94 | 25.72 | 26.62 | 13.31 | 16.68 | 17.16 | 14.04 | 39.67 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 8,450 | 7,236 | 5,899 | 6,347 | 8,953 | 9,957 | 7,153 | 6,505 | 9,758 | 17,340 | 13,978 | 16,770 | 17,300 |
| Expenses | 7,595 | 6,449 | 5,380 | 5,874 | 8,310 | 8,756 | 6,357 | 6,032 | 9,264 | 15,778 | 12,293 | 14,534 | 14,897 |
| Operating Profit | 855 | 787 | 519 | 473 | 644 | 1,201 | 795 | 473 | 494 | 1,561 | 1,684 | 2,236 | 2,403 |
| OPM % | 10% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Other Income | 96 | 99 | 139 | 128 | -106 | 243 | 618 | 544 | 386 | 504 | 1,248 | 478 | 1,078 |
| Interest | 283 | 241 | 236 | 170 | 177 | 144 | 85 | 102 | 243 | 304 | 320 | 212 | 194 |
| Depreciation | 436 | 386 | 386 | 258 | 260 | 233 | 246 | 255 | 303 | 348 | 351 | 355 | 394 |
| PBT | 231 | 258 | 36 | 173 | 101 | 1,067 | 1,082 | 661 | 334 | 1,413 | 2,262 | 2,147 | 2,893 |
| Tax % | 8% | 31% | 72% | 12% | 122% | 39% | 24% | 33% | 40% | 20% | 16% | 25% | — |
| Net Profit | 214 | 179 | 10 | 153 | -22 | 654 | 827 | 444 | 199 | 1,136 | 1,902 | 1,620 | 2,319 |
| EPS in Rs | 2.62 | 5.72 | 1 | 5.97 | -0.5 | 24.36 | 29.42 | 16.82 | 7.9 | 42.44 | 72.73 | 61.15 | 87.55 |
| Div. Payout % | 19% | 9% | 50% | 8% | -100% | 43% | 17% | 30% | 63% | 12% | 7% | 8% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 132 | 133 | 133 | 133 | 133 | 130 | 130 | 130 | 131 | 131 | 131 | 132 |
| Reserves | 2,667 | 2,666 | 2,677 | 2,721 | 2,665 | 3,085 | 3,952 | 4,298 | 4,582 | 5,467 | 7,313 | 9,024 |
| Borrowings | 3,021 | 2,644 | 1,843 | 1,386 | 1,305 | 1,061 | 1,021 | 2,057 | 3,381 | 1,967 | 1,122 | 2,355 |
| Other Liabilities | 3,998 | 3,195 | 3,595 | 3,452 | 4,097 | 3,667 | 2,588 | 2,684 | 7,180 | 4,249 | 6,635 | 8,889 |
| Total Liabilities | 9,818 | 8,637 | 8,247 | 7,693 | 8,200 | 7,943 | 7,692 | 9,169 | 15,274 | 11,813 | 15,201 | 20,400 |
| Fixed Assets | 4,662 | 3,730 | 3,356 | 3,046 | 1,567 | 1,617 | 2,599 | 2,433 | 4,910 | 4,800 | 4,707 | 6,536 |
| CWIP | 80 | 34 | 32 | 17 | 47 | 83 | 147 | 1,261 | 87 | 87 | 787 | 1,241 |
| Investments | 805 | 1,017 | 725 | 488 | 476 | 784 | 1,713 | 2,307 | 1,537 | 1,100 | 1,402 | 1,864 |
| Other Assets | 4,271 | 3,855 | 4,134 | 4,143 | 6,110 | 5,460 | 3,233 | 3,168 | 8,740 | 5,827 | 8,306 | 10,759 |
| Total Assets | 9,818 | 8,637 | 8,247 | 7,693 | 8,200 | 7,943 | 7,692 | 9,169 | 15,274 | 11,813 | 15,201 | 20,400 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 901 | 354 | 403 | 981 | 623 | 648 | 774 | 218 | -185 | 1,306 | 1,504 | 3,204 |
| Investing | 338 | -326 | 618 | 184 | -255 | -49 | -848 | -201 | -348 | 373 | 194 | -3,714 |
| Financing | -1,106 | -99 | -979 | -761 | -335 | -743 | -198 | 453 | 909 | -1,877 | -1,369 | 875 |
| Net Cash Flow | 133 | -71 | 42 | 405 | 33 | -144 | -271 | 470 | 376 | -198 | 328 | 365 |
| Free Cash Flow | 812 | 122 | 322 | 933 | 565 | 474 | 518 | -757 | -1,235 | 1,022 | 690 | 715 |
| CFO/OP | 108 | 60 | 69 | 200 | 110 | 77 | 118 | 78 | -13 | 96 | 109 | 157 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 49 | 71 | 91 | 76 | 48 | 42 | 34 | 46 | 43 | 38 | 46 | 37 |
| Inventory Days | 138 | 107 | 159 | 125 | 129 | 127 | 93 | 78 | 286 | 70 | 173 | 166 |
| Days Payable | 154 | 132 | 198 | 177 | 92 | 81 | 55 | 75 | 130 | 68 | 133 | 118 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 33 | 45 | 52 | 24 | 86 | 88 | 72 | 48 | 199 | 40 | 87 | 85 |
| Working Capital Days | 18 | 5 | 33 | 22 | 49 | 39 | 36 | -47 | -26 | 12 | 8 | -23 |
| ROCE % | 8% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 30% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 20% | 21% | 23% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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Company Information
WCL is one of the largest manufacturers of large diameter pipes globally. The company also manufactures BIS-certified Steel Billets, TMT (Thermo-Mechanically Treated) Rebars, Ductile Iron (DI) Pipes, Stainless Steel Pipes, and Tubes & Bars. The company acquired Sintex-BAPL, a market leader in water tanks and other plastic products, to expand its building materials portfolio. It has also made strategic acquisition of specified assets of ABG Shipyard. [1]
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