UPL
UPL
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Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 24.4%
Weaknesses
3- Company has low interest coverage ratio.
- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 6.02% over past five years.
- Company has a low return on equity of 1.87% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
UPL Ltd, with a market cap of ₹48,160 Cr and a P/E of 20.8x, is showing signs of a TTM profit recovery at 36% growth after a difficult multi-year period marked by a 21% three-year profit CAGR decline. The company trades at a P/B of 1.4x with a three-year average ROE of just 2%, reflecting weak capital efficiency amid a challenging agrochemical cycle.
- TTM compounded profit growth has rebounded sharply to 36%, signalling a potential earnings recovery after years of decline
- TTM sales growth of 13% marks an acceleration from the negative 1% three-year sales CAGR, suggesting demand recovery in the agrochemical cycle
- P/B ratio of 1.4x is modest for a global agrochemical player with a 10-year sales CAGR of 14%, offering potential valuation support
- 10-year compounded sales CAGR of 14% demonstrates a long track record of top-line expansion through cycles
- Consistent dividend payout ratio of 24.4% with a current yield of 1.04% provides some income cushion to shareholders
- 10-year compounded profit CAGR of 6% shows the business has historically been able to grow earnings over full cycles despite near-term volatility
- Last year ROE improved to 6% from a 3-year average of 2%, indicating the profitability trajectory is moving in the right direction
- Three-year ROE averages just 2%, far below the cost of equity, indicating prolonged destruction of shareholder value
- Low interest coverage ratio flags elevated financial risk given the company's leveraged balance sheet
- Five-year compounded profit CAGR of -10% shows sustained earnings erosion over a meaningful period
- Stock price CAGR of -17% over 1 year and -5% over 5 years reflects persistent market scepticism and capital loss for holders
- Five-year sales CAGR of only 6% is weak for a commodity-chemicals business that needs volume growth to service its debt load
- Three-year compounded sales CAGR of -1% indicates the top line actually contracted in recent years before the latest TTM uptick
- Even the 10-year stock CAGR of just 3% has barely kept pace with inflation, suggesting poor long-term total returns
- Dividend yield of 1.04% is modest and does not compensate adequately for the elevated financial and business risk profile
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Carbosulfan ban hits UPL directly Aug 25
India banned import, sale, and manufacturing of carbosulfan insecticide, directly impacting UPL as a producer. The prohibition covers the full supply chain, halting all commercial activity related to the product.
- Stock down 28% in 2026 Aug 25
UPL shares have corrected ~28-30% from a Dec 2025 high of ₹812.2, with Jefferies noting El Niño remains a key risk factor for Latin American operations.
- $110M acquisition cash outlay Aug 15
The Hytech Egypt acquisition at ~4.3x FY25 revenue ($25.7M) represents a significant premium and sizable cash outlay, expected to create short-term pressure on share price pending regulatory approvals.
- Jefferies sees 26% upside potential Aug 25
Jefferies retained a buy rating with ₹715 target, projecting 14% YoY EBITDA growth and 50bps margin improvement in FY27. 15 of 19 analysts maintain buy ratings, with targets ranging from ₹640 (Kotak) to ₹880 (HSBC).
- Advanta Egypt seed acquisition Aug 15
UPL's subsidiary Advanta BV is acquiring Misr Hytech Seed International for ~$110M, gaining leadership in Middle East and Africa corn seed markets. Management expects ~30% IRR, with closing by Jan 31, 2027.
- Advanta IPO has SEBI approval Aug 25
UPL's seeds business Advanta has received SEBI approval for its IPO, with management planning to begin marketing soon. This could unlock significant value for shareholders.
- Strategic portfolio optimization underway Aug 25
UPL is exiting underperforming products, geographies, and JVs including closure of Bioplanta JV in Brazil. Jefferies expects strong double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth from Advanta in FY27.
- COO Tamhane resigns from UPL Aug 26
Toshan Tamhane, Group COO who joined from McKinsey, has resigned effective Aug 31, 2026 to pursue entrepreneurial ventures after 5.5 years with UPL.
TL;DR: UPL is navigating a tough 2026 with a 28% stock correction and a domestic carbosulfan ban, but the investment thesis is shifting toward its seeds business Advanta, which has SEBI IPO approval and just completed a $110M strategic acquisition in Egypt. Analyst consensus remains overwhelmingly bullish with 15 of 19 buy ratings and targets implying 13-55% upside. The trend appears to be stabilizing as portfolio optimization, margin expansion, and Advanta's growth trajectory could drive a re-rating, though El Niño risk and near-term cash outflows from M&A warrant monitoring.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 8,963 | 10,170 | 9,887 | 14,078 | 9,067 | 11,090 | 10,907 | 15,573 | 9,216 | 12,019 | 12,269 | 18,335 | 10,181 |
| Expenses | 7,747 | 9,049 | 9,820 | 12,230 | 7,998 | 9,873 | 9,229 | 12,409 | 7,820 | 10,072 | 10,033 | 14,854 | 8,814 |
| Operating Profit | 1,216 | 1,121 | 67 | 1,848 | 1,069 | 1,217 | 1,678 | 3,164 | 1,396 | 1,947 | 2,236 | 3,481 | 1,367 |
| OPM % | 14% | 11% | 0.7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 13% |
| Other Income | 58 | 18 | 134 | 66 | 49 | 103 | 94 | -168 | 152 | 392 | 36 | 162 | 208 |
| Interest | 700 | 871 | 1,191 | 1,090 | 913 | 1,070 | 730 | 914 | 1,007 | 784 | 774 | 836 | 852 |
| Depreciation | 636 | 657 | 676 | 794 | 660 | 697 | 688 | 705 | 731 | 771 | 827 | 915 | 832 |
| PBT | -62 | -389 | -1,666 | 30 | -455 | -447 | 354 | 1,377 | -190 | 784 | 671 | 1,892 | -109 |
| Tax % | -265% | -25% | -4% | 367% | 16% | 31% | -141% | 22% | -7% | 22% | 27% | 32% | -33% |
| Net Profit | 102 | -293 | -1,607 | -80 | -527 | -585 | 853 | 1,079 | -176 | 612 | 490 | 1,294 | -73 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.97 | -2.24 | -14.41 | 0.47 | -4.55 | -5.25 | 9.81 | 10.61 | -1.04 | 6.56 | 4.7 | 12.57 | 0.12 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 12,091 | 14,048 | 16,312 | 17,378 | 21,837 | 35,756 | 38,694 | 46,240 | 53,576 | 43,098 | 46,637 | 51,839 | 52,804 |
| Expenses | 9,728 | 11,700 | 13,346 | 13,966 | 18,024 | 28,984 | 30,342 | 36,711 | 43,380 | 38,801 | 39,509 | 42,761 | 43,773 |
| Operating Profit | 2,363 | 2,348 | 2,966 | 3,412 | 3,813 | 6,772 | 8,352 | 9,529 | 10,196 | 4,297 | 7,128 | 9,078 | 9,031 |
| OPM % | 20% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 17% |
| Other Income | -11 | 149 | 363 | 351 | -197 | -515 | 62 | 91 | 464 | 231 | 78 | 724 | 798 |
| Interest | 517 | 704 | 735 | 783 | 963 | 1,481 | 2,060 | 2,295 | 2,963 | 3,852 | 3,627 | 3,401 | 3,246 |
| Depreciation | 425 | 676 | 672 | 675 | 880 | 2,012 | 2,173 | 2,359 | 2,547 | 2,763 | 2,750 | 3,244 | 3,345 |
| PBT | 1,410 | 1,117 | 1,922 | 2,305 | 1,773 | 2,764 | 4,181 | 4,966 | 5,150 | -2,087 | 829 | 3,157 | 3,238 |
| Tax % | 17% | 15% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 14% | -10% | 1% | 30% | — |
| Net Profit | 1,187 | 952 | 1,733 | 2,030 | 1,575 | 2,178 | 3,495 | 4,437 | 4,414 | -1,878 | 820 | 2,220 | 2,323 |
| EPS in Rs | 15.82 | 13 | 20.18 | 23.57 | 17.35 | 20.66 | 33.4 | 42.18 | 42.28 | -14.21 | 10.62 | 22.78 | 23.95 |
| Div. Payout % | 19% | 23% | 20% | 20% | 27% | 26% | 27% | 21% | 21% | -6% | 53% | 26% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 86 | 86 | 101 | 102 | 102 | 153 | 153 | 153 | 150 | 150 | 159 | 169 |
| Reserves | 5,775 | 5,803 | 7,214 | 9,067 | 14,613 | 19,129 | 20,734 | 24,508 | 26,708 | 24,657 | 29,054 | 34,527 |
| Borrowings | 3,281 | 5,258 | 6,443 | 6,638 | 29,139 | 29,388 | 24,519 | 26,746 | 23,939 | 29,754 | 25,099 | 23,576 |
| Other Liabilities | 5,143 | 5,722 | 6,454 | 7,148 | 18,581 | 19,758 | 23,359 | 29,196 | 35,318 | 30,579 | 31,700 | 34,847 |
| Total Liabilities | 14,284 | 16,869 | 20,212 | 22,955 | 62,435 | 68,428 | 68,765 | 80,603 | 86,115 | 85,140 | 86,012 | 93,119 |
| Fixed Assets | 4,031 | 3,862 | 4,071 | 4,437 | 32,149 | 35,321 | 34,765 | 36,193 | 38,713 | 39,056 | 39,084 | 42,153 |
| CWIP | 583 | 484 | 792 | 1,319 | 1,855 | 2,073 | 2,117 | 2,501 | 2,818 | 2,965 | 2,546 | 3,147 |
| Investments | 764 | 335 | 378 | 1,034 | 708 | 558 | 618 | 1,922 | 1,615 | 2,154 | 2,328 | 2,666 |
| Other Assets | 8,906 | 12,188 | 14,971 | 16,165 | 27,723 | 30,476 | 31,265 | 39,987 | 42,969 | 40,965 | 42,054 | 45,153 |
| Total Assets | 14,284 | 16,869 | 20,212 | 22,955 | 62,435 | 68,428 | 68,765 | 80,603 | 86,115 | 85,140 | 86,012 | 93,119 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 1,409 | 1,396 | 2,585 | 2,839 | 2,356 | 8,739 | 7,212 | 6,496 | 7,751 | 2,321 | 10,151 | 7,855 |
| Investing | -463 | -1,734 | -1,022 | -2,059 | -31,282 | -2,666 | -2,426 | -3,575 | -1,354 | -2,509 | -1,823 | -1,475 |
| Financing | -991 | 469 | 140 | -801 | 28,893 | -2,175 | -6,713 | -1,921 | -6,227 | 164 | -4,793 | -9,883 |
| Net Cash Flow | -45 | 131 | 1,703 | -21 | -33 | 3,898 | -1,927 | 1,000 | 170 | -24 | 3,535 | -3,503 |
| Free Cash Flow | 878 | 703 | 1,382 | 1,435 | 803 | 6,804 | 5,147 | 3,931 | 5,462 | 367 | 8,896 | 5,502 |
| CFO/OP | 71 | 78 | 99 | 90 | 71 | 141 | 95 | 79 | 88 | 81 | 156 | 93 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 115 | 133 | 127 | 127 | 195 | 121 | 115 | 121 | 124 | 138 | 121 | 126 |
| Inventory Days | 178 | 204 | 194 | 204 | 306 | 153 | 180 | 216 | 187 | 198 | 155 | 179 |
| Days Payable | 195 | 213 | 228 | 255 | 330 | 199 | 244 | 274 | 236 | 196 | 164 | 169 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 98 | 124 | 93 | 76 | 171 | 75 | 51 | 64 | 76 | 141 | 113 | 135 |
| Working Capital Days | 45 | 48 | 84 | 94 | 127 | 59 | 52 | 36 | 46 | 52 | 9 | 5 |
| ROCE % | 21% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 3% | 8% | 10% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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59 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY15–FY27.
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Company Information
UPL is principally engaged in the business of agrochemicals, industrial chemicals, chemical intermediates, speciality chemicals and production and sale of field crops and vegetable seeds.
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