ONGC
ONGC
Oil & Gas F&OKey Fundamentals
LargecapOil Exploration & ProductionOil & GasTapetide Score
Data-driven rating, 0–100. How it works →
Key Insights
Strengths
2- Stock is trading at 0.79 times its book value
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 32.0%
Weaknesses
1- Company has a low return on equity of 12.7% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
ONGC trades at a market cap of ₹3,00,404 Cr with a PE of 6.7x and PB of 0.80x, reflecting deep value territory relative to broader market multiples. The company offers a dividend yield of 5.58% and has delivered TTM profit growth of 21%, though its 3-year ROE of roughly 13% remains modest for a company of its scale and 3-year compounded sales growth is negative at -1%.
- PE ratio of 6.7x is significantly below the Nifty 50 average of ~22x, indicating the stock is priced at a steep discount to the broader market
- Trading at 0.80x book value, meaning the market values ONGC below its net asset base — unusual for a profitable, dividend-paying PSU
- Dividend yield of 5.58% is among the highest in the Indian large-cap universe, supported by a consistent 32% payout ratio
- TTM compounded profit growth of 21% signals a strong near-term earnings recovery trajectory
- 5-year compounded sales CAGR of 15% and profit CAGR of 21% demonstrate solid medium-term top-line and bottom-line expansion
- 10-year compounded sales CAGR of 17% reflects long-term revenue scaling ability despite commodity cycles
- 5-year stock CAGR of 14% shows the market has begun re-rating the stock after years of underperformance
- Market cap of ₹3,00,404 Cr provides deep liquidity and index weight, making it a core energy sector proxy for institutional portfolios
- 3-year ROE averaging 13% and last year at 12% is below the 15%+ threshold typically expected from quality large-caps, indicating sub-optimal capital efficiency
- 3-year compounded sales CAGR of -1% points to revenue stagnation over the medium term, raising questions about volume and pricing headwinds
- 10-year stock CAGR of just 4% has dramatically underperformed the Nifty 50's ~12% CAGR over the same period, reflecting persistent value-trap risk
- As a government-controlled entity, ONGC is subject to subsidy-sharing burdens, policy-driven pricing, and politically influenced capital allocation that can erode shareholder returns
- 3-year compounded profit CAGR of only 1% suggests earnings growth has been lumpy and heavily dependent on commodity price swings rather than operational improvement
- 1-year stock CAGR of just 2% shows recent momentum has stalled despite a 21% TTM profit surge, implying the market is sceptical about earnings sustainability
- Global energy transition towards renewables and EVs poses a structural long-term demand risk for upstream oil and gas producers like ONGC
- Earnings are tightly linked to Brent crude prices, which remain volatile — a sustained drop below USD 65/bbl could compress margins and free cash flow materially
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Crude production declined 6% YoY Sep 12
ONGC's crude production fell 6% to 4.95 million tonnes in Q1 FY27, while gas output declined 2% YoY. Overall production dropped 3.9% to 9.8 MMT during the quarter.
- ESG rating dispute signals risk Sep 10
ONGC challenged an 'Inadequate' ESG score of 44 from ESGRisk.ai, which cited safety and governance incidents, raising reputational and compliance concerns.
- BSE/NSE fines for board gaps Aug 26
ONGC was fined ₹14.31 lakh each by BSE and NSE for Q2 FY27 board composition non-compliance, attributed to delays in government appointment processes.
- OMC margin pressure above $100 crude Sep 12
Indian crude basket hit $115.98/bbl on Sep 9 with September average at $104.09, creating negative marketing margins for downstream subsidiaries HPCL and MRPL, raising working capital and inventory loss risks for the ONGC group.
- Q1 FY27 PAT more than doubled Aug 16
Standalone net profit surged 112% YoY to ₹17,034 crore in Q1 FY27, beating the Street estimate of ₹13,787 crore. EBITDAX jumped 61% YoY to ₹29,250 crore with EBITDA margin expanding to 61%.
- Venezuela OFAC license unlocks $500M+ Aug 16
ONGC Videsh received US OFAC approval in July 2026 to resume Venezuelan operations, enabling recovery of $500-600M in stuck dividends and plans to double San Cristobal output from 12,000-15,000 to 30,000 bpd within a year.
- Brent above $100 boosts realisations Sep 12
ONGC's crude realisation reached $99.45/bbl with Brent sustained above $100, directly benefiting upstream revenue. Shares gained alongside the crude rally.
- Motilal Oswal Buy, ₹290 target Aug 19
Motilal Oswal maintained Buy with ₹290 target (21% upside from ₹240), citing 6.9% forward dividend yield at a 3-year high and inexpensive valuations implying only $65/bbl Brent.
- CLSA High-Conviction Outperform, ₹405 target Sep 12
CLSA maintains a High-Conviction Outperform rating on ONGC with a ₹405 target price, though J.P. Morgan remains cautious with a Neutral rating and ₹230 target.
- Gas facility commissioned in Assam Aug 18
ONGC commissioned gas evacuation at Khoraghat GGS-1, monetising nearly 1 lakh SCM/day of previously flared gas through the North East Gas Grid, with additional hook-ups planned at Jantapathar and Kasomarigaon.
- L&T ₹2,500-5,000 Cr offshore order Sep 9
L&T secured a large EPCIC order from ONGC for the Ratna-I and NLM-14 offshore development, involving three new wellhead platforms and one riser platform, reinforcing ONGC's ₹33,000 crore Western Offshore investment pipeline.
- ₹84,084 Cr deepwater exploration approved Aug 18
Union Cabinet approved the Samudra Manthan exploration scheme on August 1, 2026, targeting aggressive deepwater development through FY 2030-31 with 87 deepwater wells planned by 2030-31 at ₹1 lakh crore total investment.
- Chairman selection: 7 shortlisted Sep 6
Seven candidates shortlisted for ONGC chairman role with Oil India CMD Ranjit Rath seen as frontrunner. Current chairman Singh's extended tenure ends December 7, 2026.
- Venezuela team on-ground assessment Aug 31
A dozen OVL officials began a 7-day Venezuela visit to inspect oil fields and negotiate fiscal terms. Framework agreement expected within 3 months, with operatorship transfer from PDVSA being pursued.
- Chairman on $60-90 crude preparedness Sep 1
ONGC Chairman Singh stated the company is prepared for $60-90/bbl crude with a balanced 60% E&P and 40% non-E&P portfolio. Plans include 10 GW renewable capacity by 2030 and a global oil trading JV by year-end.
- Two Executive Directors retire Sep 1
Executive Directors Ajay Kumar Sharma and Pradeep Kumar Goel superannuated effective September 1, 2026.
- AGM and board appointment Aug 20
ONGC held its 33rd AGM on August 31 and issued an addendum seeking approval for Dr. Archna Thakur as Independent Director.
TL;DR: ONGC is delivering strong earnings with Q1 FY27 PAT doubling to ₹17,034 crore on crude above $100/bbl and EBITDA margins at 61%, while the Venezuela OFAC license opens a significant growth runway with $500M+ dividend recovery and production doubling potential. Key risks include a 6% decline in domestic crude production, margin pressure on downstream subsidiaries HPCL/MRPL from elevated crude prices, and leadership transition uncertainty with chairman selection underway. The near-term trend is positive driven by high crude realisations and analyst upgrades (CLSA ₹405, Motilal ₹290), but sustaining this depends on reversing production declines under the Sankalp 50 plan and successfully executing the Venezuela operatorship transfer.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,63,824 | 1,47,614 | 1,67,357 | 1,72,137 | 1,68,968 | 1,59,331 | 1,67,213 | 1,67,749 | 1,63,106 | 1,57,911 | 1,67,423 | 1,73,801 | 2,04,987 |
| Expenses | 1,33,029 | 1,19,534 | 1,46,996 | 1,48,913 | 1,47,183 | 1,38,757 | 1,42,858 | 1,45,983 | 1,37,336 | 1,31,390 | 1,42,088 | 1,48,449 | 1,89,502 |
| Operating Profit | 30,795 | 28,080 | 20,360 | 23,224 | 21,785 | 20,574 | 24,354 | 21,766 | 25,770 | 26,521 | 25,335 | 25,352 | 15,485 |
| OPM % | 19% | 19% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 8% |
| Other Income | 3,069 | 3,673 | 4,299 | 3,375 | 3,535 | 4,162 | 2,415 | 3,548 | 2,464 | 3,447 | 3,450 | 5,702 | 3,858 |
| Interest | 2,364 | 3,243 | 3,203 | 3,608 | 3,694 | 3,827 | 3,750 | 3,264 | 3,341 | 3,411 | 3,207 | 3,070 | 2,854 |
| Depreciation | 7,078 | 7,079 | 7,494 | 8,420 | 8,501 | 8,254 | 9,539 | 8,912 | 9,384 | 9,273 | 9,388 | 9,345 | 9,477 |
| PBT | 24,422 | 21,431 | 13,962 | 14,570 | 13,125 | 12,655 | 13,480 | 13,137 | 15,509 | 17,284 | 16,190 | 18,640 | 7,012 |
| Tax % | 27% | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 28% | 32% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 27% | 7% |
| Net Profit | 17,893 | 16,171 | 10,511 | 11,096 | 9,776 | 9,841 | 9,747 | 8,965 | 11,554 | 12,615 | 11,946 | 13,678 | 6,554 |
| EPS in Rs | 11.64 | 10.89 | 8.51 | 7.97 | 7.93 | 8.14 | 6.82 | 5.91 | 7.79 | 8.57 | 7.96 | 8.6 | 9.46 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,60,923 | 1,24,036 | 2,82,506 | 3,22,706 | 4,21,624 | 3,96,728 | 3,03,849 | 4,91,246 | 6,32,291 | 6,01,581 | 6,12,064 | 6,08,663 | 7,04,123 |
| Expenses | 1,18,610 | 84,901 | 2,29,702 | 2,65,817 | 3,46,805 | 3,44,623 | 2,54,375 | 4,11,373 | 5,56,764 | 4,99,198 | 5,23,207 | 5,05,543 | 6,11,429 |
| Operating Profit | 42,312 | 39,135 | 52,804 | 56,889 | 74,819 | 52,105 | 49,473 | 79,874 | 75,527 | 1,02,383 | 88,857 | 1,03,120 | 92,694 |
| OPM % | 26% | 32% | 19% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 13% |
| Other Income | 5,955 | 1,067 | 12,724 | 10,429 | 9,567 | 982 | 11,271 | 6,797 | -30 | 14,712 | 13,282 | 14,923 | 16,458 |
| Interest | 2,864 | 3,766 | 3,591 | 4,999 | 5,837 | 7,489 | 5,079 | 5,696 | 7,889 | 13,026 | 14,535 | 13,029 | 12,541 |
| Depreciation | 18,033 | 16,384 | 20,219 | 23,112 | 23,704 | 26,635 | 25,538 | 26,883 | 24,557 | 30,440 | 35,206 | 37,391 | 37,484 |
| PBT | 27,370 | 20,052 | 41,718 | 39,208 | 54,846 | 18,962 | 30,126 | 54,091 | 43,051 | 73,629 | 52,398 | 67,623 | 59,127 |
| Tax % | 35% | 35% | 30% | 34% | 38% | 40% | 29% | 9% | 24% | 25% | 27% | 26% | — |
| Net Profit | 17,703 | 13,102 | 29,169 | 26,068 | 33,938 | 11,456 | 21,360 | 49,294 | 32,778 | 55,273 | 38,329 | 49,793 | 44,793 |
| EPS in Rs | 14.29 | 10.03 | 19.03 | 17.23 | 24.28 | 8.59 | 12.96 | 36.19 | 28.17 | 39.06 | 28.8 | 32.93 | 34.59 |
| Div. Payout % | 44% | 56% | 40% | 38% | 29% | 58% | 28% | 29% | 40% | 31% | 43% | 22% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 4,278 | 4,278 | 6,417 | 6,417 | 6,290 | 6,290 | 6,290 | 6,290 | 6,290 | 6,290 | 6,290 | 6,290 |
| Reserves | 1,76,177 | 1,93,536 | 1,87,969 | 1,97,602 | 2,10,644 | 1,98,814 | 2,14,691 | 2,53,213 | 2,74,357 | 3,32,779 | 3,37,150 | 3,65,478 |
| Borrowings | 53,944 | 45,500 | 80,029 | 1,06,550 | 1,07,742 | 1,29,473 | 1,33,187 | 1,21,986 | 1,42,255 | 1,91,195 | 1,87,817 | 1,74,316 |
| Other Liabilities | 1,03,448 | 98,459 | 1,70,111 | 1,48,664 | 1,67,667 | 1,73,787 | 1,87,580 | 2,01,771 | 1,90,212 | 2,06,357 | 2,21,401 | 2,39,518 |
| Total Liabilities | 3,37,847 | 3,41,772 | 4,44,525 | 4,59,232 | 4,92,343 | 5,08,364 | 5,41,748 | 5,83,260 | 6,13,115 | 7,36,621 | 7,52,658 | 7,85,602 |
| Fixed Assets | 1,79,933 | 1,66,277 | 2,11,125 | 2,26,058 | 2,30,391 | 2,43,892 | 2,43,746 | 2,54,402 | 2,50,819 | 3,17,183 | 3,40,175 | 3,46,073 |
| CWIP | 63,393 | 57,668 | 59,042 | 61,512 | 69,056 | 83,832 | 1,00,309 | 1,06,719 | 1,13,945 | 1,18,729 | 1,12,614 | 1,16,272 |
| Investments | 4,749 | 33,387 | 70,746 | 67,335 | 66,909 | 56,755 | 60,320 | 66,642 | 78,873 | 1,00,862 | 95,617 | 1,01,084 |
| Other Assets | 89,771 | 84,440 | 1,03,612 | 1,04,328 | 1,25,987 | 1,23,884 | 1,37,372 | 1,55,496 | 1,69,478 | 1,99,847 | 2,04,252 | 2,22,173 |
| Total Assets | 3,37,847 | 3,41,772 | 4,44,525 | 4,59,232 | 4,92,343 | 5,08,364 | 5,41,748 | 5,83,260 | 6,13,115 | 7,36,621 | 7,52,658 | 7,85,602 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 33,950 | 46,292 | 45,780 | 56,792 | 61,458 | 70,593 | 47,185 | 78,248 | 84,211 | 98,847 | 90,856 | 1,12,719 |
| Investing | -30,058 | -38,256 | -43,815 | -66,798 | -37,132 | -53,159 | -39,141 | -41,197 | -72,799 | -57,423 | -42,879 | -57,419 |
| Financing | -10,641 | -8,972 | -1,867 | 9,909 | -23,324 | -16,726 | -8,239 | -35,790 | -12,916 | -45,009 | -47,908 | -56,331 |
| Net Cash Flow | -6,749 | -935 | 99 | -97 | 1,001 | 708 | -195 | 1,261 | -1,504 | -3,586 | 68 | -1,031 |
| Free Cash Flow | 17,053 | 31,199 | 25,445 | 29,061 | 35,697 | 28,735 | 15,147 | 45,158 | 47,758 | 60,965 | 50,143 | 72,219 |
| CFO/OP | 102 | 138 | 105 | 119 | 103 | 155 | 111 | 115 | 132 | 111 | 118 | 128 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 43 | 25 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| Inventory Days | 65 | 105 | 65 | 56 | 48 | 46 | 85 | 90 | 61 | 87 | 99 | 119 |
| Days Payable | 175 | 290 | 51 | 48 | 41 | 31 | 51 | 66 | 46 | 61 | 64 | 84 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -67 | -161 | 30 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 54 | 39 | 27 | 38 | 47 | 48 |
| Working Capital Days | -30 | -59 | -85 | -61 | -44 | -54 | -50 | -24 | -30 | -46 | -37 | -37 |
| ROCE % | 13% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 14% | 18% | 12% | 14% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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64 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY11–FY26.
Documents
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Company Information
ONGC is the largest crude oil and natural gas Company in India, contributing around 71 per cent to Indian domestic production
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