Mangalore Refinery & Petroleum
Mangalore Refinery & Petroleum
Petroleum ProductsKey Fundamentals
SmallcapRefineries & MarketingPetroleum ProductsTapetide Score
Data-driven rating, 0–100. How it works →
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company is expected to give good quarter
Weaknesses
1- Company might be capitalizing the interest cost
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals Ltd (MRPL) is a mid-cap petroleum refiner with a market cap of ₹31,566 Cr, trading at a PE of 10.1x and PB of 2.24x. TTM profit growth of 1,067% reflects a sharp cyclical recovery, while 3-year compounded profit growth remains negative at -10%, underscoring the inherent volatility of refining economics. The stock has delivered a 1-year return of 42% and offers a dividend yield of 2.21%.
- TTM compounded profit growth of 1,067% signals a massive earnings recovery, likely driven by improved gross refining margins and higher throughput
- PE ratio of 10.1x is relatively undemanding for a company showing strong near-term earnings momentum, suggesting the market has not fully priced in the recovery
- 5-year compounded profit CAGR of 36% demonstrates the company's ability to generate significant earnings power across a full cycle
- TTM sales growth of 23% indicates robust top-line expansion, supported by higher crude throughput and elevated product prices
- Dividend yield of 2.21% provides a tangible cash return to shareholders, above the broad market average for Indian equities
- Stock CAGR of 42% over 1 year and 33% over 5 years reflects sustained investor interest and improving fundamentals over time
- 3-year average ROE of 15% and 5-year average ROE of 22% indicate the company has historically generated healthy returns on equity capital
- Company is expected to deliver a good upcoming quarter, suggesting near-term earnings momentum may continue
- 3-year compounded sales CAGR of -7% highlights that the top line has actually contracted over a medium-term horizon, raising questions about sustainable volume or pricing growth
- 3-year compounded profit CAGR of -10% indicates that despite the TTM spike, medium-term earnings trajectory has been negative and volatile
- Concern that the company might be capitalizing interest costs, which could overstate reported profits and asset values while masking true financing expenses
- Key financial data points — ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, and EPS — are unavailable or null, limiting investors' ability to assess current profitability and leverage accurately
- 52-week high and low data are both reported as 0, indicating potential data gaps that make technical and valuation range analysis unreliable
- As a petroleum refiner, MRPL is heavily exposed to crude oil price swings and crack spread volatility — the 1,067% TTM profit jump could reverse just as sharply
- 10-year stock CAGR of only 8% suggests that over longer periods, MRPL has delivered modest returns, reflecting the cyclical and capital-intensive nature of the refining business
- PB ratio of 2.24x, in the absence of confirmed current ROE and ROCE figures, may imply the stock is pricing in optimistic earnings that could prove unsustainable
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Board non-compliance fines Aug 26
MRPL penalized ₹28.4 lakh (₹14.19 lakh each by BSE and NSE) for Q1FY27 board composition lapses. The CPSE has sought a waiver citing government nomination rules.
- West Asia crude shift risks Aug 24
West Asia crude sourcing dropped from 66% in FY23 to 27% in Q1FY27, and Russian crude fell from 44% to 27-28%. While diversification improves supply security, rapid shifts expose MRPL to sourcing volatility amid global energy disruptions.
- China export competition looms Aug 18
China's fuel exports surged to 1.1 million tonnes in July from 240,860 tonnes in June, posing a competitive threat to Indian refiners in Asian markets.
- FY26 PAT surges to ₹1,931 crore Aug 24
MRPL reported FY26 PAT of ₹1,931 crore versus just ₹51 crore in FY25, with gross refining margin improving to $9.22 per barrel.
- Refining margins spike globally Aug 18
MRPL shares surged 6.7% to ₹189 as US refining margins hit ~$70/bbl and global refinery throughput dropped 5 million bpd YoY to 89 million bpd, while demand stays above 100 million bpd.
- Dividend approved at AGM Aug 26
Shareholders approved a ₹4 per share dividend and appointed two new directors at the 38th AGM, with 100% promoter group support on all resolutions.
- Attractive valuation vs peers Aug 24
MRPL trades at 9.7x forward PE with 52.05% estimated growth, significantly below its estimated cash flow value of ₹333.32 versus current price of ₹173.84.
- AI-driven refinery optimization Aug 24
MRPL has deployed AI for real-time melt flow index prediction in the polypropylene unit and a real-time power/steam optimizer in the captive power plant, driving operational savings.
- Statutory auditors appointed for FY27 Sep 09
MRPL appointed M/s Ram Raj & Co. and M/s A Raghavendra Rao & Associates as statutory auditors for FY27 following CAG notification.
TL;DR: MRPL delivered a dramatic earnings turnaround in FY26 with PAT jumping from ₹51 crore to ₹1,931 crore, supported by improving refining margins now near multi-year highs due to global supply disruptions. The stock trades at an attractive 9.7x forward PE with over 50% estimated growth, and crude diversification reduces geopolitical concentration risk. Key risks include rising Chinese fuel exports threatening Asian market share and minor governance penalties. The near-term outlook is favorable as long as global refining margins remain elevated, though margin normalization in 2027 as throughputs rebound by 3.5 mb/d is worth watching.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 21,058 | 19,353 | 24,667 | 25,329 | 23,247 | 24,968 | 21,871 | 24,596 | 17,356 | 22,649 | 24,712 | 23,950 | 38,254 |
| Expenses | 18,989 | 17,215 | 23,508 | 22,990 | 22,641 | 25,442 | 20,840 | 23,466 | 17,177 | 21,160 | 21,927 | 22,169 | 36,937 |
| Operating Profit | 2,068 | 2,138 | 1,159 | 2,339 | 606 | -474 | 1,031 | 1,130 | 180 | 1,489 | 2,785 | 1,781 | 1,318 |
| OPM % | 10% | 11% | 4.7% | 9% | 2.6% | -1.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 3.4% |
| Other Income | 54 | 67 | 45 | 23 | 52 | 45 | 38 | 45 | 39 | 65 | 45 | 59 | 574 |
| Interest | 267 | 311 | 274 | 262 | 214 | 285 | 264 | 245 | 257 | 219 | 219 | 212 | 244 |
| Depreciation | 294 | 296 | 334 | 333 | 335 | 342 | 332 | 338 | 363 | 371 | 391 | 395 | 401 |
| PBT | 1,561 | 1,598 | 596 | 1,768 | 108 | -1,056 | 474 | 592 | -402 | 963 | 2,220 | 1,233 | 1,246 |
| Tax % | 35% | 34% | 34% | 36% | 32% | -34% | 35% | 37% | -33% | 35% | 35% | 91% | 24% |
| Net Profit | 1,015 | 1,052 | 392 | 1,138 | 73 | -697 | 309 | 371 | -271 | 627 | 1,451 | 117 | 946 |
| EPS in Rs | 5.79 | 6 | 2.24 | 6.5 | 0.42 | -3.98 | 1.76 | 2.11 | -1.54 | 3.58 | 8.28 | 0.67 | 5.4 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 57,398 | 39,730 | 43,767 | 49,055 | 63,446 | 50,230 | 31,959 | 69,758 | 1,09,026 | 90,407 | 94,684 | 88,667 | 1,09,564 |
| Expenses | 59,565 | 38,021 | 38,775 | 44,526 | 60,816 | 53,368 | 31,252 | 64,814 | 1,02,498 | 82,550 | 92,378 | 82,338 | 1,02,193 |
| Operating Profit | -2,167 | 1,709 | 4,992 | 4,529 | 2,630 | -3,137 | 708 | 4,944 | 6,528 | 7,857 | 2,306 | 6,330 | 7,371 |
| OPM % | -3.8% | 4.3% | 11% | 9% | 4.2% | -6% | 2.2% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 2.4% | 7% | 7% |
| Other Income | 841 | 674 | 2,015 | 223 | 130 | 70 | 90 | 67 | 213 | 42 | 176 | 117 | 743 |
| Interest | 448 | 1,083 | 969 | 915 | 1,062 | 1,251 | 558 | 1,212 | 1,298 | 1,119 | 1,016 | 912 | 894 |
| Depreciation | 522 | 1,013 | 984 | 966 | 1,048 | 1,086 | 1,158 | 1,088 | 1,187 | 1,257 | 1,347 | 1,520 | 1,558 |
| PBT | -2,295 | 287 | 5,054 | 2,871 | 651 | -5,404 | -919 | 2,711 | 4,256 | 5,523 | 119 | 4,015 | 5,662 |
| Tax % | -19% | -77% | 35% | 38% | 46% | -25% | -17% | -9% | 38% | 35% | 53% | 52% | — |
| Net Profit | -1,853 | 506 | 3,293 | 1,774 | 351 | -4,043 | -765 | 2,958 | 2,655 | 3,597 | 56 | 1,925 | 3,141 |
| EPS in Rs | -10.29 | 4.7 | 19.81 | 11.37 | 1.94 | -19.14 | -4.36 | 16.88 | 15.15 | 20.52 | 0.32 | 10.98 | 17.93 |
| Div. Payout % | 0% | 0% | 30% | 26% | 52% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 36% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 1,753 | 1,753 | 1,753 | 1,753 | 1,753 | 1,753 | 1,753 | 1,753 | 1,753 | 1,753 | 1,753 | 1,753 |
| Reserves | 3,478 | 4,281 | 7,750 | 8,481 | 8,193 | 4,607 | 2,495 | 5,457 | 8,112 | 11,530 | 11,217 | 12,444 |
| Borrowings | 14,702 | 14,395 | 15,477 | 14,921 | 15,618 | 18,482 | 24,062 | 21,310 | 16,939 | 12,687 | 13,143 | 15,341 |
| Other Liabilities | 21,294 | 23,650 | 7,870 | 6,803 | 7,203 | 5,734 | 6,425 | 11,561 | 8,410 | 9,467 | 8,329 | 14,950 |
| Total Liabilities | 41,226 | 44,080 | 32,849 | 31,958 | 32,766 | 30,576 | 34,735 | 40,081 | 35,214 | 35,437 | 34,442 | 44,488 |
| Fixed Assets | 21,641 | 21,747 | 20,618 | 20,217 | 20,002 | 20,431 | 19,596 | 21,384 | 20,396 | 20,410 | 20,095 | 20,451 |
| CWIP | 1,389 | 198 | 220 | 682 | 995 | 1,746 | 2,343 | 170 | 475 | 744 | 729 | 897 |
| Investments | 0 | 38 | 42 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 29 | 46 | 48 | 55 | 50 |
| Other Assets | 18,197 | 22,097 | 11,969 | 11,028 | 11,740 | 8,369 | 12,770 | 18,499 | 14,297 | 14,234 | 13,562 | 23,090 |
| Total Assets | 41,226 | 44,080 | 32,849 | 31,958 | 32,766 | 30,576 | 34,735 | 40,081 | 35,214 | 35,437 | 34,442 | 44,488 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | -731 | 1,429 | -1,108 | 3,972 | 1,640 | 289 | -2,818 | 4,496 | 6,364 | 7,051 | 1,878 | 2,531 |
| Investing | -94 | 303 | -265 | -981 | -1,080 | -1,449 | -2,101 | -595 | -673 | -1,524 | -940 | -1,378 |
| Financing | -2,672 | -1,744 | 265 | -2,796 | -996 | 1,157 | 4,944 | -3,922 | -5,690 | -5,524 | -938 | -598 |
| Net Cash Flow | -3,497 | -12 | -1,109 | 194 | -436 | -3 | 24 | -20 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 554 |
| Free Cash Flow | -1,900 | 979 | -1,900 | 2,901 | 449 | -1,204 | -3,716 | 3,885 | 5,662 | 5,509 | 918 | 1,120 |
| CFO/OP | 30 | 107 | -2 | 103 | 66 | -12 | -400 | 96 | 109 | 102 | 85 | 51 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 14 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 28 | 23 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 25 |
| Inventory Days | 24 | 36 | 44 | 45 | 39 | 30 | 90 | 62 | 25 | 38 | 32 | 67 |
| Days Payable | 116 | 223 | 60 | 41 | 29 | 24 | 50 | 55 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 52 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -78 | -168 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 14 | 67 | 29 | 17 | 21 | 21 | 41 |
| Working Capital Days | -104 | -203 | -53 | -63 | -49 | -33 | -44 | -13 | -1 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| ROCE % | -10% | 7% | 19% | 15% | 7% | -16% | -1% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 4% | 18% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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62 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY07–FY26.
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Company Information
Mangalore Refinery & Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) was set up as a joint venture (JV) between the AV Birla Group and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL). It is now a subsidiary of Oil & Natural Gas Corporation(ONGC). The company is mainly engaged in the business of refining crude oil, petrochemical business, trading of aviation fuels and distribution of petroleum products through retail outlets and transport terminals. [1][2]
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