Chennai Petroleum Corporation
Chennai Petroleum Corporation
Petroleum ProductsKey Fundamentals
SmallcapRefineries & MarketingPetroleum ProductsTapetide Score
Data-driven rating, 0–100. How it works →
Key Insights
Strengths
5- Company has reduced debt.
- Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 3.94%.
- Company is expected to give good quarter
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 23.4%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 31.5%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd (CPCL) is a mid-cap PSU refiner (market cap ~₹24,161 Cr) subsidiary of Indian Oil Corporation, trading at a PE of 5.8x with a dividend yield of 3.81%. The company experienced a sharp GRM decline from $8.64/bbl in FY24 to $4.22/bbl in FY25, though FY26 saw a strong recovery to $9.28/bbl. Compounded profit growth has been volatile — up 2,380% TTM but negative 5% over 3 years — reflecting the deeply cyclical nature of refining margins.
- Attractive valuation with PE of 5.8x, well below broader market multiples, suggesting limited downside if earnings sustain current levels
- Healthy dividend yield of 3.81% with a consistent payout ratio of 31.5%, offering income support in a volatile sector
- Strong ROE track record — 32% last year and 23% averaged over 3 and 10 years — indicating efficient capital deployment relative to equity
- FY26 GRM recovered sharply to $9.28/bbl (Q4 FY26 at $13.75/bbl) from a trough of $4.22/bbl in FY25, signaling a margin upcycle
- Company has been reducing debt, with debt-to-equity at approximately 0.18x, strengthening the balance sheet ahead of capex commitments
- Stock CAGR of 71% over 5 years and 119% over 1 year reflects strong investor re-rating of the refining sector and CPCL specifically
- Planned capacity expansion by a third to 280,000 bpd and participation in the ₹29,361 Cr Cauvery Basin 9 MTPA refinery project offer long-term volume growth
- Compounded sales growth of 23% over 5 years and 9% over 10 years demonstrates steady top-line expansion through commodity cycles
- GRM collapsed from $8.64/bbl in FY24 to $4.22/bbl in FY25 (51% decline), demonstrating extreme earnings sensitivity to global refining margin cycles
- 3-year compounded profit growth is negative at -5% and 3-year sales CAGR is -6%, showing that recent TTM numbers mask multi-year inconsistency
- The Cauvery Basin refinery project cost has already escalated from ₹27,460 Cr to over ₹32,900 Cr (12%+ overrun), posing execution and capital allocation risk
- As a PSU subsidiary (IOCL holds majority stake), CPCL faces government intervention risks on fuel pricing, subsidy burden sharing, and dividend policy
- H1 FY25 GRM dropped to $2.93/bbl versus $10.34/bbl in H1 FY24, illustrating how quickly profitability can erode within a single fiscal year
- Q4 FY25 net profit fell 25% year-on-year on lower refining margins, showing that even modest GRM compression directly hits the bottom line
- After a 119% stock CAGR over 1 year, much of the margin recovery may already be priced in, leaving limited room for re-rating if GRMs normalize
- Single-product concentration in petroleum refining with no meaningful diversification into petrochemicals or renewables exposes the company to structural energy transition risk
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Record PAT, Navratna status Aug 26
CPCL reported a multifold PAT jump to ₹3,061.85 crore in FY26 and received Navratna status, a significant milestone for the PSU refiner.
- ₹54 final dividend approved Aug 27
Shareholders approved a ₹54 per share final dividend for FY26 at the 60th AGM, with the promoter group voting unanimously in favor of all eight resolutions.
- Oil import shift, rising utilization Aug 26
CPCL shifted crude imports to Russia and West Africa due to Middle East supply issues. Capacity utilization is projected to rise from 102.9% in FY27 to 106.7% in FY28 and 108.6% in FY29.
TL;DR: Chennai Petroleum is in a strong position with record profitability (PAT of ₹3,061.85 crore), Navratna status, and a generous ₹54 dividend. Capacity utilization targets above 100% through FY29 signal confidence in throughput growth. No significant headwinds are visible in recent news, though the crude sourcing shift away from the Middle East bears monitoring. The trend is firmly positive with operational and financial momentum intact.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 14,745 | 16,545 | 17,376 | 17,720 | 17,095 | 12,086 | 12,925 | 17,249 | 14,812 | 16,327 | 15,683 | 16,817 | 27,369 |
| Expenses | 13,795 | 14,740 | 16,696 | 16,678 | 16,432 | 12,761 | 12,683 | 16,464 | 14,714 | 15,183 | 14,205 | 14,781 | 25,814 |
| Operating Profit | 950 | 1,804 | 680 | 1,042 | 663 | -675 | 242 | 785 | 99 | 1,144 | 1,478 | 2,036 | 1,555 |
| OPM % | 6% | 11% | 3.9% | 6% | 3.9% | -6% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 6% |
| Other Income | 10 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 32 | 26 | 23 | 43 | 43 | 32 |
| Interest | 57 | 65 | 50 | 51 | 48 | 52 | 79 | 66 | 37 | 34 | 33 | 16 | 52 |
| Depreciation | 147 | 157 | 151 | 151 | 150 | 153 | 153 | 150 | 151 | 152 | 157 | 150 | 155 |
| PBT | 756 | 1,593 | 486 | 859 | 484 | -862 | 24 | 602 | -64 | 982 | 1,331 | 1,913 | 1,380 |
| Tax % | 26% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 26% | -26% | 15% | 22% | -37% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 556 | 1,195 | 365 | 628 | 357 | -634 | 21 | 470 | -40 | 719 | 1,002 | 1,422 | 1,031 |
| EPS in Rs | 37.37 | 80.28 | 24.53 | 42.17 | 23.98 | -42.55 | 1.4 | 31.56 | -2.69 | 48.3 | 67.26 | 95.48 | 69.26 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 41,899 | 25,716 | 27,522 | 32,370 | 41,113 | 36,973 | 22,222 | 43,068 | 76,271 | 66,024 | 58,983 | 63,148 | 76,197 |
| Expenses | 42,016 | 24,367 | 25,646 | 30,288 | 40,596 | 39,130 | 20,210 | 40,336 | 70,574 | 61,548 | 57,946 | 58,390 | 69,984 |
| Operating Profit | -117 | 1,349 | 1,877 | 2,082 | 517 | -2,157 | 2,012 | 2,732 | 5,698 | 4,476 | 1,038 | 4,757 | 6,213 |
| OPM % | -0.3% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 1.3% | -6% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 1.8% | 8% | 8% |
| Other Income | 25 | 56 | 62 | 52 | 67 | 45 | 127 | 26 | 13 | 47 | 62 | 135 | 142 |
| Interest | 405 | 353 | 274 | 322 | 421 | 415 | 376 | 413 | 331 | 224 | 245 | 120 | 135 |
| Depreciation | 229 | 274 | 279 | 340 | 453 | 468 | 466 | 504 | 573 | 606 | 607 | 610 | 614 |
| PBT | -727 | 778 | 1,386 | 1,473 | -290 | -2,995 | 1,296 | 1,841 | 4,806 | 3,694 | 249 | 4,162 | 5,606 |
| Tax % | -95% | 2% | 24% | 37% | -29% | -31% | 80% | 27% | 27% | 26% | 14% | 25% | — |
| Net Profit | -33 | 762 | 1,051 | 927 | -205 | -2,056 | 257 | 1,352 | 3,532 | 2,745 | 214 | 3,103 | 4,174 |
| EPS in Rs | -2.23 | 51.14 | 70.57 | 62.27 | -13.79 | -138 | 17.28 | 90.79 | 237 | 184 | 14.38 | 208 | 280 |
| Div. Payout % | 0% | 8% | 30% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 35% | 30% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 149 | 149 | 149 | 149 | 149 | 149 | 149 | 149 | 149 | 149 | 149 | 149 |
| Reserves | 1,594 | 2,320 | 3,292 | 3,848 | 3,308 | 1,210 | 1,462 | 2,838 | 6,326 | 8,672 | 8,058 | 10,960 |
| Borrowings | 5,399 | 4,567 | 5,501 | 4,491 | 6,668 | 8,698 | 9,167 | 9,238 | 4,260 | 2,786 | 3,117 | 1,964 |
| Other Liabilities | 3,959 | 3,430 | 2,681 | 5,851 | 4,013 | 2,818 | 3,487 | 5,298 | 5,345 | 6,768 | 5,785 | 7,011 |
| Total Liabilities | 11,101 | 10,465 | 11,623 | 14,339 | 14,138 | 12,875 | 14,265 | 17,523 | 16,079 | 18,375 | 17,109 | 20,085 |
| Fixed Assets | 4,102 | 4,119 | 3,883 | 5,914 | 6,977 | 7,034 | 7,142 | 6,967 | 7,637 | 7,506 | 7,325 | 7,182 |
| CWIP | 784 | 1,679 | 2,763 | 1,410 | 1,199 | 1,598 | 1,550 | 1,210 | 331 | 210 | 208 | 346 |
| Investments | 14 | 119 | 140 | 153 | 159 | 179 | 199 | 208 | 206 | 240 | 280 | 491 |
| Other Assets | 6,201 | 4,547 | 4,837 | 6,863 | 5,802 | 4,064 | 5,374 | 9,139 | 7,905 | 10,419 | 9,296 | 12,066 |
| Total Assets | 11,101 | 10,465 | 11,623 | 14,339 | 14,138 | 12,875 | 14,265 | 17,523 | 16,079 | 18,375 | 17,109 | 20,085 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 1,083 | 2,292 | 609 | 2,757 | -144 | -620 | 452 | 1,026 | 5,749 | 2,694 | 1,352 | 2,945 |
| Investing | -480 | -1,142 | -1,169 | -969 | -1,273 | -963 | -548 | -676 | -403 | -589 | -649 | -930 |
| Financing | -609 | -1,152 | 561 | -1,788 | 1,417 | 1,583 | 97 | -343 | -5,354 | -2,106 | -519 | -1,294 |
| Net Cash Flow | -6 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -7 | -1 | 184 | 721 |
| Free Cash Flow | 596 | 1,129 | -582 | 1,766 | -1,452 | -1,607 | -116 | 326 | 5,331 | 2,092 | 667 | 2,045 |
| CFO/OP | -931 | 172 | 48 | 150 | -21 | 27 | 23 | 38 | 119 | 81 | 130 | 82 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 16 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Inventory Days | 35 | 50 | 48 | 60 | 45 | 23 | 87 | 71 | 32 | 48 | 42 | 53 |
| Days Payable | 29 | 39 | 25 | 56 | 23 | 15 | 36 | 30 | 16 | 26 | 20 | 25 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 22 | 22 | 37 | 22 | 26 | 9 | 54 | 43 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 29 |
| Working Capital Days | -20 | -22 | -14 | -26 | -29 | -54 | -70 | -22 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| ROCE % | — | 16% | 21% | 21% | 1% | -26% | 16% | 20% | 45% | 35% | 4% | 35% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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62 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY10–FY26.
Documents
Frequently Asked Questions about Chennai Petroleum Corporation
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Company Information
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited is in the business of refining crude oil to produce & supply various petroleum products and manufacture and sale of lubricating oil additives.[1]
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