BPCL
BPCL
Petroleum Products F&OKey Fundamentals
LargecapRefineries & MarketingPetroleum ProductsTapetide Score
Data-driven rating, 0–100. How it works →
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 5.75%.
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 28.6%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 31.5%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd trades at a market cap of ₹1,28,810 Cr with a PE of 7.7x and dividend yield of 5.78%. The company has delivered a 3-year ROE of 29% and 10-year compounded profit growth of 12%, though TTM profit has declined 12% and the stock has returned -4% over the past year.
- Attractive valuation with PE of 7.7x, well below broader market multiples, suggesting earnings are available at a discount relative to many large-caps
- High dividend yield of 5.78% with a consistent payout ratio of 31.5%, offering meaningful income to shareholders
- Strong 3-year ROE of 29% and 5-year ROE of 24%, indicating efficient capital utilization over extended periods
- Compounded profit growth of 107% over 3 years reflects a sharp earnings recovery cycle from pandemic-era lows
- 10-year compounded sales growth of 9% and profit growth of 12% demonstrate long-term revenue and earnings scalability
- TTM sales growth of 12% indicates continued top-line momentum in the most recent period
- Price-to-book ratio of 1.31x is modest for a company generating 29% ROE, suggesting the market is not fully pricing in return on equity performance
- 3-year stock CAGR of 19% shows the stock has rewarded patient investors over a medium-term horizon despite recent weakness
- TTM compounded profit has declined 12%, signaling a potential earnings downcycle after the sharp 3-year recovery
- As a government-controlled oil marketing company, BPCL's margins are exposed to regulated fuel pricing and subsidy uncertainty, which the volatile profit history reflects
- 1-year stock CAGR of -4% indicates recent negative price momentum and possible deteriorating sentiment
- 3-year compounded sales growth is -1%, suggesting revenue stagnation when adjusted over a medium-term window
- 10-year stock CAGR of only 5% implies the stock has barely outpaced inflation over a long period, reflecting structural return limitations
- 5-year stock CAGR of just 4% underperforms the broader Indian equity market significantly over the same period
- Earnings are highly cyclical — the swing from 107% 3-year profit CAGR to -12% TTM decline illustrates how quickly profitability can reverse in the petroleum refining and marketing business
- Stalled disinvestment plans add governance and strategic uncertainty, as privatisation timelines have been repeatedly pushed back
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Q1 FY27 net loss ₹3,962 Cr Aug 18
BPCL posted a net loss of ₹3,962 crore in Q1 FY27 vs ₹6,124 crore profit a year ago, with operating margins dropping to negative 4.11% from 5.72% due to suppressed marketing margins and rising crude costs from the US-Iran conflict.
- ₹5,000 Cr NCD debt raise Aug 18
Board approved ₹5,000 crore NCD issuance in up to 10 tranches over 12 months, as debt-to-equity rose to 0.19x in Q1 FY27 from 0.11x in Q4 FY26. LPG under-recoveries hit ₹3,485 crore in Q1.
- Board non-compliance penalty Aug 26
BSE and NSE imposed a ₹14.66 lakh penalty on BPCL for 91 days of board composition non-compliance due to expired independent director tenures.
- Strait of Hormuz supply risks Aug 27
Gulf oil flows dropped to 4.49 million bpd in August from 15.82 million bpd pre-conflict. India's crude imports fell to 4.51 million bpd, the lowest since March, complicating procurement for BPCL which needs ~2 million barrels of Iraqi crude monthly.
- FY26 record profit ₹25,843 Cr Aug 27
BPCL reported record consolidated PAT of ₹25,843 crore for FY26, driven by highest-ever crude throughput of 41.2 MMT and GRM of $11.74 per barrel.
- Nomura picks BPCL as top OMC Aug 26
Nomura prefers BPCL among OMCs with integrated margins at $8-13/bbl, citing meaningful upside if crude prices correct and structurally strong refining margins with diesel and ATF cracks above 3x historical averages.
- CSE biofuels and CBG partnership Sep 2
BPCL signed an MoU with the Centre for Science and Environment covering the full biofuels value chain including compressed biogas, feedstock assessment, carbon credit opportunities, and pilot projects aligned with its 2040 net-zero target.
- ORSL wins ₹260 Cr CBG contracts Sep 8
ORSL secured three EPCOM contracts from BPCL worth aggregate ₹259.71 crore for CBG plants in Mysuru, Raipur, and Kozhikode with combined 14.8 TPD capacity and five-year O&M mandates.
- Iraqi crude cargo secured Aug 27
BPCL secured its first Iraqi crude cargo of FY27 via ship-to-ship transfer at Fujairah, with September supplies arranged and October procurement underway despite Strait of Hormuz disruptions.
- E20 fuel policy clarity Aug 27
CMD Sanjay Khanna confirmed E20 petrol will not be replaced by E10, stating any E10 option for older vehicles would run alongside E20 with no infrastructure challenges for BPCL.
- Mumbai refinery maintenance planned Aug 27
BPCL plans to shut its 6 Mtpa crude unit and secondary units at Mumbai refinery for maintenance in September-October 2026.
- Grocery delivery and payments pilot Aug 27
BPCL is piloting ecommerce grocery delivery alongside LPG in Maharashtra and UP, while developing a payment gateway for HelloBPCL app which processes ~₹91,500 crore annually.
- 9 MTPA AP refinery with petchem Aug 27
BPCL plans a 9 MTPA refinery in Andhra Pradesh with 35% petrochemical focus, plus a 5,000 T/yr green hydrogen project at Bina targeted for completion by 2028.
- Renewable energy expansion to 251 MW Aug 27
BPCL commissioned a 71 MW solar project at Prayagraj bringing total renewable capacity to 251 MW, with 26 CBG plants and 100 MW wind projects in the pipeline.
- FY26 AGM and auditor appointments Aug 27
BPCL held its 73rd AGM approving FY26 financials, interim dividends, and director appointments. Separately appointed M M Nissim & Co LLP and Manohar Chowdhry & Associates as FY27 statutory auditors.
- Finance Director term extended Sep 1
VR Gupta's tenure as Director (Finance) extended until June 30, 2031 per Ministry of Petroleum approval dated September 1, 2026.
- Global investor meetings in September Sep 3
BPCL scheduled physical investor meetings across Dubai, London, Singapore, and Hong Kong in September 2026, with the UBS India Summit session rescheduled to September 10.
- Gujarat stamp duty orders ₹48 lakh Sep 11
BPCL received two Gujarat stamp duty orders totaling ₹19.8 lakh in duty and ₹26.3 lakh in penalties related to the 2022 BORL amalgamation and older land allotments. Company plans to appeal.
TL;DR: BPCL delivered record FY26 results with ₹25,843 crore PAT and 41.2 MMT throughput, but Q1 FY27 swung to a ₹3,962 crore loss as the West Asia conflict crushed marketing margins and elevated crude costs. The company is actively diversifying into biofuels, CBG, renewables, and petrochemicals while managing near-term supply chain risks from Strait of Hormuz disruptions. The trajectory hinges on crude price normalization and marketing margin recovery — Nomura sees meaningful upside if Brent corrects toward pre-crisis levels, but geopolitical uncertainty and potential US sanctions on Russian crude imports remain key risks.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,12,985 | 1,03,044 | 1,15,499 | 1,16,555 | 1,13,095 | 1,02,785 | 1,13,166 | 1,11,230 | 1,12,551 | 1,04,946 | 1,19,029 | 1,18,701 | 1,51,277 |
| Expenses | 97,200 | 90,104 | 1,09,300 | 1,07,600 | 1,07,468 | 98,268 | 1,05,710 | 1,03,494 | 1,02,874 | 95,185 | 1,07,343 | 1,09,067 | 1,55,332 |
| Operating Profit | 15,785 | 12,941 | 6,199 | 8,955 | 5,627 | 4,517 | 7,456 | 7,737 | 9,678 | 9,761 | 11,687 | 9,634 | -4,055 |
| OPM % | 14% | 13% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 4.4% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | -2.7% |
| Other Income | 1,003 | 911 | 919 | 403 | 807 | 1,278 | 548 | 1,061 | 1,840 | 1,375 | 687 | 940 | 3,535 |
| Interest | 1,071 | 1,190 | 920 | 967 | 889 | 923 | 861 | 919 | 758 | 833 | 657 | 705 | 627 |
| Depreciation | 1,614 | 1,605 | 1,830 | 1,722 | 1,686 | 1,779 | 1,810 | 1,982 | 1,889 | 1,958 | 1,979 | 2,031 | 2,069 |
| PBT | 14,103 | 11,056 | 4,367 | 6,669 | 3,859 | 3,094 | 5,333 | 5,897 | 8,872 | 8,345 | 9,737 | 7,838 | -3,216 |
| Tax % | 25% | 25% | 27% | 28% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 26% | 23% | 26% | 26% | 28% | -42% |
| Net Profit | 10,644 | 8,244 | 3,181 | 4,790 | 2,842 | 2,297 | 3,806 | 4,392 | 6,839 | 6,191 | 7,188 | 5,625 | -1,873 |
| EPS in Rs | 24.53 | 19 | 7.33 | 11.04 | 6.55 | 5.29 | 8.77 | 10.12 | 15.76 | 14.27 | 16.57 | 12.96 | -4.32 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,42,598 | 1,87,815 | 2,01,251 | 2,35,895 | 2,98,226 | 2,84,572 | 2,30,171 | 3,46,791 | 4,73,187 | 4,48,083 | 4,40,272 | 4,55,228 | 4,93,954 |
| Expenses | 2,32,818 | 1,74,844 | 1,87,468 | 2,20,578 | 2,83,113 | 2,75,597 | 2,09,170 | 3,27,654 | 4,62,288 | 4,04,001 | 4,14,870 | 4,14,026 | 4,66,927 |
| Operating Profit | 9,780 | 12,971 | 13,783 | 15,317 | 15,112 | 8,975 | 21,001 | 19,137 | 10,899 | 44,082 | 25,401 | 41,202 | 27,027 |
| OPM % | 4% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3.1% | 9% | 6% | 2.3% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 5% |
| Other Income | 2,117 | 1,913 | 2,721 | 2,927 | 2,975 | 1,393 | 7,489 | 4,939 | 2,554 | 3,032 | 3,629 | 4,399 | 6,536 |
| Interest | 1,180 | 680 | 696 | 1,186 | 1,764 | 2,637 | 1,723 | 2,606 | 4,263 | 4,149 | 3,591 | 2,953 | 2,823 |
| Depreciation | 3,027 | 2,072 | 2,108 | 2,885 | 3,418 | 4,080 | 4,334 | 5,434 | 6,369 | 6,771 | 7,257 | 7,856 | 8,036 |
| PBT | 7,690 | 12,132 | 13,700 | 14,174 | 12,905 | 3,652 | 22,432 | 16,037 | 2,821 | 36,194 | 18,182 | 34,791 | 22,704 |
| Tax % | 34% | 33% | 31% | 31% | 34% | 0% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 26% | — |
| Net Profit | 5,082 | 8,089 | 9,507 | 9,792 | 8,528 | 3,666 | 17,320 | 11,682 | 2,131 | 26,859 | 13,337 | 25,843 | 17,132 |
| EPS in Rs | 11.08 | 18.64 | 20.1 | 20.76 | 17.98 | 7.04 | 37.26 | 26.93 | 4.91 | 61.91 | 30.74 | 59.57 | 39.48 |
| Div. Payout % | 34% | 25% | 49% | 46% | 48% | 106% | 102% | 29% | 40% | 33% | 32% | 29% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 723 | 656 | 1,311 | 1,967 | 1,967 | 1,967 | 2,093 | 2,129 | 2,129 | 2,136 | 4,273 | 4,273 |
| Reserves | 21,839 | 27,138 | 29,508 | 34,652 | 36,798 | 34,565 | 51,462 | 49,776 | 51,393 | 73,499 | 77,112 | 95,898 |
| Borrowings | 25,492 | 23,388 | 35,725 | 37,659 | 44,839 | 65,476 | 54,532 | 64,534 | 69,376 | 54,599 | 61,101 | 54,424 |
| Other Liabilities | 38,268 | 35,241 | 42,541 | 46,078 | 53,322 | 48,852 | 52,891 | 71,089 | 65,240 | 72,184 | 75,898 | 94,021 |
| Total Liabilities | 86,322 | 86,422 | 1,09,086 | 1,20,356 | 1,36,926 | 1,50,860 | 1,60,978 | 1,87,529 | 1,88,138 | 2,02,418 | 2,18,382 | 2,48,616 |
| Fixed Assets | 29,109 | 25,358 | 33,684 | 45,539 | 49,315 | 60,175 | 64,098 | 83,901 | 86,675 | 86,798 | 88,628 | 93,624 |
| CWIP | 15,787 | 17,459 | 16,834 | 9,875 | 13,654 | 17,757 | 17,037 | 15,433 | 16,249 | 20,204 | 26,387 | 32,911 |
| Investments | 7,712 | 9,401 | 21,327 | 23,725 | 24,907 | 27,029 | 26,768 | 23,616 | 26,778 | 26,631 | 26,531 | 30,136 |
| Other Assets | 33,714 | 34,203 | 37,241 | 41,217 | 49,050 | 45,900 | 53,075 | 64,578 | 58,436 | 68,785 | 76,837 | 91,945 |
| Total Assets | 86,322 | 86,422 | 1,09,086 | 1,20,356 | 1,36,926 | 1,50,860 | 1,60,978 | 1,87,529 | 1,88,138 | 2,02,418 | 2,18,382 | 2,48,616 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 20,742 | 11,119 | 9,041 | 11,068 | 10,157 | 7,881 | 23,455 | 20,336 | 12,466 | 35,936 | 23,678 | 50,769 |
| Investing | -10,536 | -9,233 | -15,274 | -7,066 | -10,451 | -11,135 | -2,474 | -8,138 | -7,806 | -10,521 | -19,180 | -26,067 |
| Financing | -9,792 | -1,332 | 4,804 | -4,218 | 207 | 3,583 | -13,981 | -17,672 | -4,402 | -25,427 | -6,241 | -24,940 |
| Net Cash Flow | 414 | 555 | -1,429 | -215 | -87 | 329 | 7,000 | -5,474 | 257 | -12 | -1,743 | -238 |
| Free Cash Flow | 9,754 | 947 | -417 | 3,384 | -344 | -4,289 | 14,403 | 12,643 | 3,960 | 26,391 | 8,574 | 31,476 |
| CFO/OP | 240 | 111 | 94 | 93 | 86 | 108 | 129 | 115 | 121 | 101 | 109 | 143 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| Inventory Days | 29 | 34 | 45 | 41 | 32 | 32 | 52 | 51 | 32 | 42 | 43 | 51 |
| Days Payable | 22 | 19 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 19 | 32 | 37 | 20 | 27 | 29 | 41 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 12 | 19 | 30 | 21 | 16 | 20 | 33 | 24 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 14 |
| Working Capital Days | -19 | -18 | -31 | -19 | -13 | -30 | -33 | -29 | -20 | -21 | -27 | -34 |
| ROCE % | 17% | 25% | 24% | 21% | 18% | 9% | 18% | 16% | 7% | 32% | 16% | 26% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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64 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY06–FY26.
Documents
Frequently Asked Questions about BPCL
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Company Information
Bharat Petroleum Corporation is a public sector company which is engaged in the business of refining of crude oil and marketing of petroleum products.[1]
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